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Serie A

Remo - Santos

09/19/2026, 09:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Remo
1.0
Total xG
2.2
Santos
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

0:1

11%

1:0

9%

1:2

8%
xG 分解
REMSAN

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.72倍)
-0.55
排名劣势 (第19位 vs 第10位, 相差9位)
-0.10
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
Jajá未进大名单 (7球, 1助攻)
Yago Pikachu替补席 (3球, 1助攻)
13%进球产出缺失 (仅97%可用)

Santos

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名优势 (第10位 vs 第19位, 相差9位)
+0.05
Neymar 未进大名单 (6球, 3助攻)
Álvaro Barreal未进大名单 (5球, 1助攻)
31%进球产出缺失 (仅72%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

30%

平局

32%

客胜

38%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

62%

客胜或平局

70%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Form disparity: Santos travel with four wins in their last five matches (WDWWW), while Remo are winless in five (DLLLL)
  • Tactical edge: Santos averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to Remo's 3.0
  • Model prediction: The mathematical prediction favors Santos with a 38% win probability
风险因素
  • Squad depth tested: Key players Neymar (6 goals) and Álvaro Barreal (5 goals) are sidelined with injuries
  • Remo's home defense: At home Remo concede only 1.13 goals on average compared to 2.33 away from home
  • Balanced odds: The model predicts a high draw probability of 32% with 1.03 to 1.20 expected goals
概述

Remo (19th place, 23 points) host Santos (10th place, 35 points)

Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 10:30 PM at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Relegation battle for the hosts against mid-table Santos

近期状态

Remo show a form of DLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

No wins in the last five matches with four defeats

Santos are in excellent shape with a form of WDWWW

The visitors secured four wins and one draw recently

统计数据

Remo score an average of 1.15 goals and concede 1.67 per match

Remo's home record is balanced with 1.13 goals scored and conceded

Santos average 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game

The visitors concede an average of 1.62 goals in away matches

历史交锋

Only one head-to-head match in history so far

Santos won this encounter 2-0 on April 2, 2026

Remo are still waiting for their first goal against this opponent

关键球员

Vitor Bueno (4 goals, 3 assists) and Gabriel Taliari (4 goals) are Remo's key assets

Gabriel Barbosa leads Santos with 10 goals this season

Not nominated for Remo: Jajá (7 goals) and Yago Pikachu (3 goals)

Not nominated for Santos: Neymar (6 goals) and Álvaro Barreal (5 goals)

门将

Marcelo Rangel guards the goal for Remo with a season rating of 7.05

Diógenes plays for Santos with two appearances and a 6.85 rating

Remo kept 3 clean sheets this season, while Santos recorded 6

影响因素

The match is played on natural grass at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Average of 2.6 goals scored in Remo's recent home matches

Santos score an average of 1.46 goals in away games

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