Serie A
Flamengo - Bragantino
09/20/2026, 09:30 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.8
0.8
2:0
12%1:1
11%2:1
10%3:0
8%3:1
6%xG 分解
Flamengo
Bragantino
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
62%
平局
24%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
38%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Tactical dominance: Flamengo controlled recent matches with 60% possession and averaged 5.6 shots on target per game
- Home field strength: The league leaders averaged 2.0 goals scored and only 0.69 conceded per home match this season
- Form advantage: The model calculates a 62% home win probability, backed by four consecutive home wins for Flamengo
风险因素
- Squad absences: Samuel Lino (9 goals, 7 assists), Lucas Paquetá (5 goals), and Erick Pulgar are missing from the squad
- Away threat: Bragantino has been offensively dangerous in recent matches, averaging 6.0 shots on target per game
概述
Flamengo (1st place, 57 points) host Bragantino (10th place, 36 points) at the Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Serie A match on September 20, 2026, 9:30 PM
League leaders Flamengo enter the match as clear favorites
近期状态
Flamengo show strong form with four wins in their last five matches
Home team form string: LWWWW
Bragantino managed only one win in their last five games
Away team form string: DWLLD
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Flamengo scored an average of 1.96 goals per game this season
The home team conceded an average of only 0.81 goals per match
Bragantino average 1.23 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded per game
In home matches, Flamengo average 2.0 goals scored and 0.69 goals conceded
Bragantino concede an average of 1.36 goals per away match
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Flamengo secured 3 wins, with 1 draw and 1 win for Bragantino
The last meeting ended in a 3-0 victory for Bragantino on April 3, 2026
Goal difference stands at 8:6 in favor of Flamengo
关键球员
Pedro scored 15 goals and provided 5 assists in 27 matches
Jorge Carrascal recorded 5 goals and 6 assists in 21 games
Giorgian de Arrascaeta contributed 3 goals and 4 assists in 20 appearances
Lucas Barbosa scored 5 goals and registered 2 assists in 24 games
Isidro Pitta found the net 5 times and provided 2 assists in 23 appearances
Fernando scored 3 goals and added 1 assist in 13 games
门将
Agustín Rossi guards the goal for Flamengo and kept 12 clean sheets this season
Tiago Volpi plays as goalkeeper for Bragantino and achieved 8 clean sheets
影响因素
Flamengo benefits from extreme home strength with an average of 2.0 goals scored and only 0.69 conceded in their stadium
The match will be played on natural grass at the legendary Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho