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Serie A

Corinthians - Fluminense

09/20/2026, 07:00 PM

1 : 3
预期进球
Corinthians
1.0
Total xG
1.7
Fluminense
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

19%

1:0

16%

1:1

15%

0:1

12%

2:0

8%
xG 分解
CORFLU

Corinthians

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.78倍)
-0.60
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.26
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第5位, 相差9位)
-0.10
Y. Monteiro da Silva未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)

Fluminense

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.65倍)
-0.68
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.21
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球)
+0.13
状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.13
排名优势 (第5位 vs 第14位, 相差9位)
+0.03
Ignácio未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Guga未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Yeferson Soteldo未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.6球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

37%

客胜

26%

进球数

Over 1.5

53%

Under 1.5

47%

Over 2.5

25%

Under 2.5

75%

Over 3.5

10%

Under 3.5

90%

双重机会

主胜或平局

74%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

63%

双方进球

35%

65%

关键因素
  • Form gap: Corinthians lost their last 5 matches in a row (Form: LLLLL), while Fluminense won 3 of their last 5 games
  • Tactical edge: Fluminense averaged 5.6 shots on target in recent matches compared to 3.6 by Corinthians
  • Squad strength: Fluminense is missing Ignácio, Guga, and Yeferson Soteldo but still fields 100% of their regular goalscoring power
风险因素
  • Defensive instability: Fluminense concede an average of 1.91 goals per away game
  • Offensive weakness: Corinthians average only 0.8 goals scored per game in recent matches
概述

Corinthians host Fluminense in Serie A

Match on September 20, 2026, 7:00 PM at Arena Corinthians

The hosts occupy 14th place with 32 points

The visitors travel in 5th place with 45 points

近期状态

Corinthians is in a crisis after 5 consecutive defeats

Form of Corinthians: LLLLL (L = Loss)

Fluminense is in more stable form with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Form of Fluminense: WWDWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Corinthians score an average of 1.04 goals and concede 1.07 goals per game this season

In home games, Corinthians average 1.00 goals scored and 0.93 goals conceded

Fluminense have a stronger attack with an average of 1.52 goals, but concede 1.91 goals on average away from home

Both teams scored in 14 out of 27 matches for Corinthians and in 20 out of 27 matches for Fluminense

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 3 times and Fluminense won 2 times

The last encounter on April 2, 2026, ended in a 3-1 victory for Fluminense

In total, Corinthians scored 6 goals and Fluminense scored 5 goals in these matches

关键球员

Rodrigo Garro stands out in midfield with an average rating of 7.18 and 6 assists

Kaio César contributes with an average rating of 7.10 and 2 goals this season

Matheus Bidu stabilizes the team with an average rating of 7.00

Hulk leads the visitors with a strong average rating of 7.46 and 4 goals

Luciano Acosta influences play with 4 goals and a rating of 7.12

Martinelli shines in midfield with an average rating of 7.07

门将

Hugo Souza guards the goal for Corinthians, holding a season average rating of 6.77

Corinthians kept 10 clean sheets this season

Fábio is in goal for Fluminense, with a rating of 6.91

Fluminense managed 5 clean sheets in the current campaign

影响因素

The match is played on grass at the Arena Corinthians

Corinthians' home record shows 14 goals scored and 13 conceded in 14 matches

In the 5 games played at this arena so far, matches averaged 2.0 goals per game

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