Serie A
Atlético Mineiro - Chapecoense
09/19/2026, 07:00 PM
预期进球
1.9
2.7
0.8
1:1
12%2:0
12%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Atlético Mineiro
Chapecoense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
25%
客胜
15%
进球数
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
85%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis estimates a high 60% probability for a home win
- Chapecoense concedes an average of 2.56 goals per away game
- Atlético Mineiro averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
风险因素
- Missing duel statistics in the last five matches
- Chapecoense travels with a weak away defense conceding 2.56 goals on average
- Absence of key regulars such as V. Gomes Silva (20 season appearances) and R. Tressoldi Netto
概述
Atlético Mineiro (7th place, 39 points) host Chapecoense (20th place, 17 points) at the Arena MRV
Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 7:00 PM
Clear favorites against the bottom of the table
近期状态
Atlético Mineiro enters with a form of WDWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Three wins and one loss in the last five matches according to stats
Chapecoense travels with a form of DWLWL
Two wins and two losses in the past five games
统计数据
Atlético Mineiro scores an average of 1.35 goals and concedes 1.19 per match
Chapecoense averages 1.08 goals scored and 2.00 conceded
The visitors concede an average of 2.56 goals per away game
The home team has kept 6 clean sheets this season
历史交锋
Only one head-to-head match in the database
The last meeting ended in a 4-0 scoreline
Advantage for the home team in the historical record
关键球员
Tomás Cuello scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists with a rating of 7.08
Bernard contributed 2 goals and 3 assists this season
Alan Minda has 2 goals and 2 assists
Marcinho scored 5 goals and provided 2 assists so far
Giovanni Augusto has recorded 1 goal and 5 assists with a rating of 7.09
Bruno Pacheco contributed 1 goal and 3 assists
门将
Gabriel Delfim starts in goal for the home side with 3 appearances this season
Anderson has played 12 matches in goal for Chapecoense this season
The home team achieved 6 clean sheets this season, while the visitors had 2
影响因素
Atlético Mineiro scored an average of 1.38 goals and conceded 0.94 in home games
Chapecoense scored an average of 1.11 goals and conceded 2.56 in away matches
The last 5 home games at this arena saw an average of 3.2 goals per match