Serie A
Mirassol - Botafogo
09/19/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
2.5
1.0
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%xG 分解
Mirassol
Botafogo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
46%
平局
29%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
54%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Tactical offensive threat: Botafogo averaged 5.8 shots on target in recent matches compared to Mirassol's 4.6
- Model prediction: The mathematical model favors Mirassol with a 46% home win probability (home win or draw at 75%)
- Head-to-head edge: Botafogo remains unbeaten in all 3 historical matches against Mirassol
风险因素
- High physical strain: Botafogo enters this challenging away match with only 3 days of rest since their last game
- Away defensive struggles: Botafogo concedes an average of 2.09 goals per away game this season
- Missing key assets: Alesson is not nominated for Mirassol (4 assists missing), while Botafogo lacks Edenilson (3 goals, 2 assists)
概述
Mirassol (15th place, 29 points) host Botafogo (11th place, 35 points) at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 10:00 PM
The home side aims to distance themselves from the relegation zone
近期状态
Mirassol's current form is DDLWD with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Botafogo enters with a record of LLDDW containing 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Mirassol drew 2-2 with Vitória in their last outing
Botafogo won 3-2 against Grêmio in their previous game
统计数据
Mirassol scored 31 goals this season (avg. 1.15) and conceded 42 (avg. 1.56)
Botafogo scored 41 goals (avg. 1.52) and conceded 43 (avg. 1.59)
At home, Mirassol averages 1.12 goals scored, while Botafogo concedes an average of 2.09 goals away
Both teams scored in 19 of Mirassol's matches this season
历史交锋
In the last 3 direct encounters, Mirassol has 0 wins, Botafogo has 1 win, with 2 matches ending in a draw
The total goal difference is 5:6 in favor of Botafogo
Their most recent duel on April 1, 2026, ended in a 3-2 victory for Botafogo
关键球员
Igor Formiga stands out for Mirassol with 4 goals, 4 assists, and a 7.06 rating
Reinaldo has contributed 5 assists, while Eduardo scored 4 goals so far
For Botafogo, Danilo excels with 9 goals and 2 assists, holding a 7.28 rating
Arthur Cabral has scored 7 goals, and Alex Telles contributes 3 goals and 5 assists
门将
Walter guards Mirassol's goal with a 6.77 rating and 1 clean sheet
Gabriel Batista starts for Botafogo with a 7.00 rating and 4 clean sheets this season
影响因素
The game will be played on natural grass at the Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
In Mirassol's last 5 home games, matches averaged 3.6 goals with both teams scoring in every match
The model predicts 1.48 expected home goals and 1.03 expected away goals