Serie A
São Paulo - Internacional
09/20/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.4
2.3
0.9
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
10%2:1
9%xG 分解
São Paulo
Internacional
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
30%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- São Paulo has recently dominated possession, averaging 55.2% ball possession and 5.0 shots on target per match
- Outstanding defensive record for São Paulo at home, conceding only 0.59 goals per match on average
- The mathematical model estimates a 48% probability of a home win and a 78% probability of a home win or draw
风险因素
- Offensive dip for São Paulo, scoring only 1.0 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.2
- Internacional shows improved efficiency, scoring 1.8 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.3
- Weakened squad depth for São Paulo due to several injured and questionable players
概述
São Paulo (12th place, 33 points) hosts Internacional (18th place, 28 points)
Match at Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo on September 20, 2026, 2:00 AM
The hosts aim to stabilize in mid-table, while the visitors desperately need points in the relegation zone
近期状态
São Paulo form: DLWWL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Recent record shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Internacional form: DDLLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors registered 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses recently
统计数据
São Paulo averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.15 goals conceded per match this season
Their home defense is remarkably strong, conceding only 0.59 goals per game
Internacional averages 1.11 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded overall
Away from home, the visitors concede an average of 1.46 goals per match
历史交锋
5 head-to-head matches in recent years
São Paulo recorded 2 wins, Internacional secured 1 win, and 2 matches ended in draws
The last encounter ended in a 1-1 draw on April 1, 2026
The goal difference stands at 7-5 in favor of São Paulo
关键球员
Luciano has scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists in 21 appearances this season
Jonathan Calleri has scored 7 goals in 22 matches for the hosts
Artur contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 17 appearances
Johan Carbonero scored 7 goals and registered 4 assists in 26 games for the away side
Alexandro Bernabei recorded 4 goals and 1 assist in 23 appearances
Alan Patrick added 4 goals and 1 assist in 22 season matches
门将
Rafael guards the goal for São Paulo with 25 appearances so far this season
Anthoni starts in goal for Internacional, having recorded 10 matches
The home team has secured 5 clean sheets during this league campaign
The visiting side has registered 6 clean sheets so far this season
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo
The home team benefits from an exceptionally strong defense in front of their fans, conceding just 0.59 goals per game
Historically, matches at this venue average 2.4 goals per game
In recent home matches, both teams scored in 4 out of 5 encounters