Serie A
Vasco da Gama - Coritiba
09/19/2026, 11:30 PM
预期进球
2.0
3.1
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
6%1:2
6%xG 分解
Vasco da Gama
Coritiba
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
24%
客胜
20%
进球数
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
双重机会
主胜或平局
80%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 55%
- Vasco da Gama averaged 5.0 shots on target in recent matches
- Coritiba shows a positive trend, scoring more recently (2.0) compared to their season average (1.4)
风险因素
- Vulnerable defense of Vasco da Gama with an average of 1.58 goals conceded per season match
- Vasco da Gama managed to keep only 2 clean sheets in 26 games this season
- Coritiba concedes an average of 1.46 goals in their away matches
概述
Vasco da Gama host Coritiba at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Serie A match on September 19, 2026, 11:30 PM
Vasco da Gama is currently in 17th place with 28 points facing relegation pressure
Coritiba travels as the 8th-placed team with 38 points
近期状态
Vasco da Gama form: LLWLW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team has 2 wins and 3 losses in their recent run
Coritiba form: DWWLD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeat recently
统计数据
Vasco da Gama averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.58 goals conceded per match
In home matches, they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded
Coritiba records a season average of 1.37 goals scored and 1.41 goals conceded
The away team shows an average of 1.38 scored and 1.46 conceded on the road
Both teams scored in 17 out of 26 matches played by Vasco da Gama this season
历史交锋
There has been 1 head-to-head match in the last two years
This direct encounter ended in a 1:1 draw on April 1, 2026
The historic record between both clubs is completely even
关键球员
Thiago Mendes leads Vasco da Gama with an average seasonal rating of 7.21
Facundo Colidio scored 2 goals in his last 5 appearances for the home side
Andrés Gómez contributed 4 goals and 2 assists so far this season
Josué shines for Coritiba with a seasonal rating of 7.11 and 11 assists
Pedro Rocha remains a vital threat for the visitors with 8 goals this season
Tiago Cóser scored an impressive 3 goals in his last 5 matches from defence
门将
Léo Jardim guards the goal for Vasco da Gama with 2 clean sheets this season
The visitors field Pedro Morisco, who has secured 6 clean sheets so far
影响因素
Vasco da Gama counts on their home advantage at the Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
The stadium statistics show an average of 2.6 goals per match on this grass surface