Serie A
Bragantino - Mirassol
10/07/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
5%xG 分解
Bragantino
Mirassol
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
55%
平局
27%
客胜
18%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
82%
客胜或平局
45%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Tactical advantage: Bragantino recently averaged a strong 6.6 shots on target per match
- Form contrast: Mirassol shows a positive trend with two wins and two draws recently, unlike Bragantino's negative run
- Home vs. away record: Bragantino concedes just 0.88 goals per home game, while Mirassol concedes 2.1 goals per away match on average
风险因素
- Weakened squad: Bragantino is missing three key players, leaving only 84% of their usual starting lineup strength available
- Lack of efficiency: Bragantino's goal scoring is stalling recently with 1.0 goals compared to their season average of 1.2
- Short recovery: Bragantino has only 4 days of rest since their last match, compared to Mirassol's 18 days of recovery
概述
Bragantino host Mirassol at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
Serie A match on October 7, 2026, 10:30 PM
Mid-table duel between 11th and 15th place
Only four points separate the two teams before this kickoff
The mathematical model predicts a home win probability of 55%
The expected goal ratio is 1.69 to 0.89 in favor of the hosts
近期状态
Bragantino is on a downward trend with the form LLDLL
No wins in their last five matches with four losses recorded
Mirassol shows much stronger form with DLWDW
The visitors secured two wins and two draws recently
统计数据
Bragantino scores an average of 1.18 goals and concedes 1.14 goals per match
At home, their defense is solid, conceding just 0.88 goals per game
Mirassol concedes a highly vulnerable average of 2.1 goals away from home
The visitors have failed to keep a clean sheet in ten away matches
历史交锋
Three head-to-head matches in the past two years
Two wins for Bragantino and one draw
The last encounter ended 1:0 for Bragantino on April 5, 2026
Mirassol is still waiting for their first win in this matchup
关键球员
Lucas Barbosa is Bragantino's driving force with 5 goals and 2 assists this season
Juninho Capixaba stabilizes the team with a strong rating of 7.10
Igor Formiga shines for the visitors with 4 goals and 5 assists this season
Eduardo is Mirassol's most dangerous midfielder with 6 goals
门将
Tiago Volpi started 21 matches in goal, recording a solid rating of 7.06
Bragantino kept 8 clean sheets so far this season
Walter made 24 appearances for Mirassol, holding a rating of 6.83
Mirassol managed only 2 clean sheets in the entire campaign
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
The weather forecast predicts moderate rain at 24.13°C
Home advantage provides Bragantino with defensive stability, yielding 5 clean sheets
Matches at this venue have seen an average of 2.4 goals per game across 5 matches