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Serie A

Athletico PR - Atlético Mineiro

10/08/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Athletico PR
1.5
Total xG
2.3
Atlético Mineiro
0.9
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

11%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
xG 分解
APAM

Athletico PR

防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.29
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.23
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
+0.23
Gastón Benavídez未进大名单 (1球, 5助攻)
Leozinho替补席 (4球, 0助攻)

Atlético Mineiro

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.01
Vitor Hugo 替补席 (2球, 0助攻)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

49%

平局

30%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

69%

Under 1.5

31%

Over 2.5

41%

Under 2.5

59%

Over 3.5

21%

Under 3.5

79%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

51%

非平局

70%

双方进球

是

47%

否

53%

关键因素
  • Offensive advantage for the home team averaging 2.4 goals recently compared to their season average of 1.7
  • Strong home defense of Athletico PR conceding only 0.69 goals per game in their own stadium
  • High home win probability of 49% calculated by the mathematical model
风险因素
  • Defensive vulnerability of the home team conceding 2.4 goals per game recently compared to the season average of 1.23
  • Limited data availability on head-to-head encounters
概述

Athletico PR host Atlético Mineiro in Serie A

Match at Arena de Baixada on October 8, 2026, 11:00 PM

Clash between third and seventh place in the standings

Home team enters as favorite with 49 points

Visitors hope to close the gap with 43 points

近期状态

Athletico PR show a form curve of WDLDW with a win in their last match

Atlético Mineiro recorded a form of WLWDW on the road recently

Home team has been strong recently averaging 2.4 goals per game

Visitors show stable form scoring consistently around 1.4 goals per game

统计数据

Athletico PR score an average of 1.56 goals per home match

Hosts boast a solid defense conceding just 0.69 goals per home game

Atlético Mineiro concede an average of 1.6 goals per away match

Historical venue stats show an average of 2.8 goals per game

历史交锋

Three head-to-head matches in recent history

Atlético Mineiro celebrated two wins while Athletico PR won once

The last direct encounter ended 2-1 for Atlético Mineiro

A total of 5 goals have been scored in these duels so far

关键球员

Kevin Viveros impresses for the home team with 18 goals this season

Lucas Esquivel has already contributed 2 goals and 5 assists

Tomás Cuello shines for the visitors with 5 goals and a 7.1 rating

门将

Mycael starts in goal for the home side with a 6.53 average rating

Gabriel Delfim guards the visitors' goal with a 6.9 rating

Hosts kept 5 clean sheets in home matches this season

Visitors achieved 3 clean sheets in away matches this term

影响因素

Match is played on grass at the Arena de Baixada

Weather is warm at 26.97°C with a clear sky

Strong home record for the hosts with only 11 goals conceded in 16 home games

Mathematical model calculates a home win probability of 49%

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