Serie A
Vitória - Chapecoense
10/07/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.4
1.1
1:1
14%0:0
10%1:0
10%2:1
9%2:0
8%xG 分解
Vitória
Chapecoense
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
41%
平局
30%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
72%
Under 1.5
28%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Vitória conceded an average of only 0.67 goals per home match and kept 9 home clean sheets
- Chapecoense's away struggles: The visitors concede 2.40 goals per away match on average and have kept 0 clean sheets on the road
- Mathematical model advantage: Calculations predict a home win probability of 41% compared to 28% for an away victory
风险因素
- Defensive vulnerability of the visitors: Chapecoense concedes a high average of 1.96 goals per match over the entire season
- Missing defensive players for the hosts: Valuable defenders like N. de Souza Mendes and R. Ramos Lima are unavailable due to injuries
概述
Vitória hosts bottom-placed Chapecoense at the Estádio Manoel Barradas
Serie A fixture on October 7, 2026, 11:00 PM
Vitória is in 13th place with 33 points, while the visitors are in 20th place with 18 points
近期状态
Vitória shows moderate form with LLWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recently suffered a 1-3 home loss against Cruzeiro, totaling 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Chapecoense travels with a form of WLWLD
The visitors secured a 1-1 draw against Atlético Mineiro in their last match, recording 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
统计数据
Vitória averages 1.00 goal scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match
At home, their defense is exceptionally strong with only 0.67 goals conceded per game and 9 clean sheets
Chapecoense averages 1.07 goals scored but struggles away with 2.40 goals conceded per match and 0 clean sheets
历史交锋
Only 1 head-to-head match has taken place in the last two years
The last encounter on April 5, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw
The historical record between the two teams is completely even
关键球员
Renê is the top scorer for the hosts with 9 goals this season, including 4 goals in his last 5 matches
Marcinho leads Chapecoense's attack with 5 goals and shows rising form with 2 goals in recent matches
Matheuzinho has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists for the home side this season
门将
Lucas Arcanjo played 24 matches for Vitória and registered 9 home clean sheets this season
Anderson has started 13 times in goal for the visitors but has yet to keep a clean sheet away from home
影响因素
The match will be played at the Estádio Manoel Barradas, which averages 2.40 goals per game
Weather conditions indicate a warm 26.35°C with overcast clouds
Vitória's home defensive strength of just 12 goals conceded in 18 home games favors the hosts