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Serie A

Internacional - Corinthians

10/07/2026, 10:30 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Internacional
1.2
Total xG
2.0
Corinthians
0.8
最可能的比分

0:0

15%

1:0

15%

1:1

14%

2:0

10%

0:1

9%
xG 分解
INTCOR

Internacional

状态上升 (1.5 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.09
Johan Carbonero替补席 (7球, 4助攻)
Bruno Henrique替补席 (2球, 1助攻)
Matheus Bahia替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
14%进球产出缺失 (仅90%可用)
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
主场表现强势 (场均1.6球 vs 总体1.2球)

Corinthians

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.58
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.18
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.12
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

33%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

61%

Under 1.5

39%

Over 2.5

32%

Under 2.5

68%

Over 3.5

14%

Under 3.5

86%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

67%

双方进球

是

39%

否

61%

关键因素
  • Form gap: While Corinthians enters the match with a run of five consecutive defeats, Internacional has looked more stable in comparison
  • Offensive upward trend: The home side averaged 1.5 goals per match in recent games, surpassing their overall seasonal average of 1.2
  • Statistical advantage: The mathematical model indicates a strong 79% probability of a home win or a draw
风险因素
  • Internacional registered an average of only 3.0 shots on target per match in recent games
  • Corinthians' goalscoring has stalled recently, averaging just 0.8 goals per match compared to their seasonal average of 1.2
概述

Internacional hosts Corinthians at Estadio Beira-Rio

Serie A fixture on October 7, 2026, 10:30 PM

Internacional currently sits in 18th place with 28 points

Corinthians travels to the venue in 14th place with 32 points

Both teams are fighting in the lower half of the table and need points desperately

近期状态

Form string Internacional: DLLWL

Form string Corinthians: LLLLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

Internacional recorded one win and one draw in their last five matches

Corinthians has lost all of their previous five games

The hosts possess a slightly more stable trend compared to the visitors' ongoing crisis

统计数据

Internacional scores 1.07 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game on average this season

Corinthians scores 1.04 goals and concedes 1.14 on average

The home side secured six clean sheets during this campaign

The visiting side recorded ten clean sheets in total

Both teams found the net in 16 of the 28 matches played by Internacional

历史交锋

Five head-to-head matches in recent years

Two wins for Internacional, one win for Corinthians, and two draws

The last meeting ended in a 1-0 win for Internacional on April 5, 2026

The goal difference across these five matches remains balanced at 7-7

关键球员

Alan Patrick (4 goals, 1 assist, avg. rating 7.14) dictates the tempo for the home side

Alexandro Bernabei stands out with 4 goals and 1 assist this season

Vitinho has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists so far

Rodrigo Garro remains the key threat for the visitors with 3 goals and 6 assists

Yuri Alberto scored 3 goals and registered 2 assists in 17 appearances

Kaio César adds attacking danger with 2 goals and 2 assists

Not selected: Johan Carbonero (7 goals, 4 assists), Bruno Henrique (2 goals, 1 assist), Matheus Bahia (0 goals, 2 assists)

门将

Anthoni guards the goal for Internacional with an average rating of 6.66

Hugo Souza starts between the posts for Corinthians with a rating of 6.72

The hosts recorded six clean sheets during this league campaign

The visitors kept ten clean sheets in the season so far

影响因素

The game takes place at Estadio Beira-Rio

Stadium statistics show an average of 2.4 goals per match

Both teams scored in 80% of matches played at this venue

A temperature of 26.47°C indicates very warm playing conditions

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