Serie A
Fluminense - Coritiba
10/09/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.8
2.5
0.7
2:0
13%1:1
12%2:1
9%3:0
7%3:1
6%xG 分解
Fluminense
Coritiba
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
60%
平局
26%
客胜
14%
进球数
Over 1.5
73%
Under 1.5
27%
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
24%
Under 3.5
76%
双重机会
主胜或平局
86%
客胜或平局
40%
非平局
74%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Strong home defense: Fluminense concedes an average of only 0.93 goals per game at home
- Offensive threat: Fluminense averaged 5.6 shots on target per game in recent matches
- Model favorite: The mathematical model calculates a 60% probability for a home victory
风险因素
- Vulnerable defense recently: Fluminense conceded 1.6 goals on average in recent games compared to their 1.33 season average
- Improving opponent offense: Coritiba is currently scoring more frequently with 1.8 goals on average compared to their 1.4 season average
概述
Fluminense hosts Coritiba
Serie A match on October 9, 2026, 2:30 AM
Fluminense is currently in 5th place with 48 points
Coritiba is in 9th place with 38 points
The home team enters as favorites with a calculated win probability of 60%
近期状态
Fluminense's form is WDWLW
They recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss recently
Coritiba travels with a form of WWLDL
The visitors achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last matches
统计数据
Fluminense scores an average of 1.57 goals per game this season
They concede 1.29 goals per match on average
At home Fluminense is strong with 1.6 goals scored and 0.93 conceded per game
Coritiba scores 1.32 goals and concedes 1.54 per game on average
On the road the visitors concede an average of 1.71 goals
历史交锋
There was 1 direct duel recently
The last meeting ended in a 1:1 draw
The historical goal difference is tied at 1:1
关键球员
Hulk shines with 6 goals and 1 assist this season
Kevin Serna contributed 4 goals and 3 assists
Jefferson Savarino recorded 3 goals and 2 assists
Pedro Rocha leads with 8 goals and 1 assist
Breno Lopes also scored 8 goals and provided 2 assists
Josué excels as playmaker with 1 goal and 11 assists
门将
Fábio starts in goal for the hosts and kept 5 clean sheets this season
Pedro Rangel is in goal for the visitors
Fábio has a season average rating of 6.95
Pedro Rangel has a season average rating of 6.89
影响因素
The game takes place at Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Extreme heat is expected with temperatures of 33.05°C
The average total goals at this stadium is 2.4 per match
Fluminense's home defensive strength of only 0.93 goals conceded per game is key