Serie A
Santos - Flamengo
10/08/2026, 10:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
9%1:0
9%1:2
8%xG 分解
Santos
Flamengo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
33%
平局
31%
客胜
36%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
64%
客胜或平局
67%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
51%
否
49%
关键因素
- Peak performance: Both teams enter the match with a perfect streak of 5 consecutive wins recently
- Offensive dominance: Flamengo averaged 19.2 total shots per match in recent games
- Balanced model prediction: The mathematical model suggests a close encounter with a 36% away win probability against 33% for a home win
风险因素
- Absence of starting goalkeeper G. Nascimento Resende Brazão (24 season appearances) due to a shoulder injury
- Loss of key midfielder G. De Arrascaeta Benedetti (21 season appearances, 3 goals, 4 assists) due to a broken wrist
概述
Santos host Flamengo at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Serie A match on October 8, 2026, 10:30 PM
Flamengo travel as league leaders with 60 points
Santos are currently in 8th place with 41 points
A crucial clash at this stage of the season
近期状态
Santos: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Flamengo: WWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Both teams are in exceptional form
Santos have won 5 consecutive matches
Flamengo also enter the game on a 5-match winning streak
统计数据
Santos average 1.54 goals scored and 1.46 goals conceded per match
Flamengo impress with an average of 1.96 goals scored and 0.82 goals conceded
At home, Santos average 1.54 goals scored per game
On the road, Flamengo score an average of 1.93 goals per match
Season statistics show 12 clean sheets for Flamengo and 6 for Santos
历史交锋
3 head-to-head matches in recent years
Flamengo with 2 wins, Santos with 1 win
Goal difference of 6:4 in favor of Flamengo
The last encounter ended in a 3-1 win for Flamengo
关键球员
Gabriel Barbosa has scored 13 season goals and provided 3 assists
Álvaro Barreal has 5 goals and 1 assist so far
Christian Oliva contributed 2 goals and 2 assists
Pedro leads Flamengo with 16 season goals and 5 assists
Samuel Lino shines with 9 goals and 7 assists
Jorge Carrascal has registered 5 goals and 7 assists
门将
Diógenes has played 4 matches in goal for Santos this season
Agustín Rossi has already completed 28 season appearances for Flamengo
Rossi has recorded 12 clean sheets during this campaign
Diógenes has contributed to 3 home clean sheets for Santos
影响因素
The match will be played on natural grass at the Estádio Urbano Caldeira
The historical average at this venue stands at 3.0 goals per match
Current weather conditions indicate light rain
With a temperature of 23.57°C and 80% humidity