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Serie A

Remo - Grêmio

10/07/2026, 10:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
Remo
1.3
Total xG
2.1
Grêmio
0.8
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:0

14%

0:0

14%

2:0

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
REMGRÊ

Remo

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.75倍)
-0.27
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.06
全员可用

Grêmio

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.54倍)
-0.49
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.01
Gustavo Martins未进大名单 (3球, 2助攻)
Erick Noriega未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
12%进球产出缺失 (仅85%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.6球 vs 总体1.2球)
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

46%

平局

32%

客胜

22%

进球数

Over 1.5

64%

Under 1.5

36%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

78%

客胜或平局

54%

非平局

68%

双方进球

是

42%

否

58%

关键因素
  • Mathematical model favors Remo with a 46% home win probability and a 78% home-or-draw chance
  • Grêmio struggles heavily on the road, conceding an average of 3.14 goals per away match
  • Grêmio has to cope without the unlisted Gustavo Martins (3 goals, 2 assists) and Erick Noriega (1 goal, 1 assist)
风险因素
  • Remo is in a major form crisis with 5 consecutive defeats
  • Grêmio is finding form and currently scores more frequently (1.5) than their season average (1.3)
  • Extreme heat of 35.26°C could severely impact the players' physical condition
概述

Remo (19th place, 23 points) host Grêmio (17th place, 29 points) at the Estádio Estadual Jornalista Edgar Augusto Proença

Serie A match on October 7, 2026, 10:30 PM

A crucial relegation battle where both teams need points to climb the table

近期状态

Remo enters with a form of LLLLL after 5 consecutive defeats

Grêmio shows a record of WLLLD with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses recently

Both teams are struggling to find consistent positive results

统计数据

Remo averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.68 goals conceded per match

Grêmio averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.36 goals conceded this season

On the road Grêmio concedes a high average of 3.14 goals per game

历史交锋

There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams

The only encounter ended in a scoreless 0:0 draw on April 5, 2026

Neither team has established dominance in this matchup so far

关键球员

Vitor Bueno scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists with a 6.95 rating

Yago Pikachu has registered 3 goals and 2 assists this season

Carlos Vinícius is the main threat with 10 goals and 1 assist

门将

Marcelo Rangel guards the goal for Remo with a season rating of 7.02

Weverton is in goal for Grêmio with a strong season rating of 7.06

Both keepers will be key to keeping a clean sheet in this match

影响因素

Extremely hot weather is expected with temperatures of 35.26°C and clear skies

The stadium average stands at 3.0 goals per match on grass surface

The home advantage could be a deciding factor in this warm weather clash

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