Serie A
Cruzeiro - São Paulo
10/08/2026, 12:30 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.2
0.9
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
12%2:0
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
44%
平局
32%
客胜
25%
进球数
Over 1.5
67%
Under 1.5
33%
Over 2.5
39%
Under 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
双重机会
主胜或平局
75%
客胜或平局
56%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
46%
否
54%
关键因素
- Cruzeiro scored more recently (2.0) than their season average (1.6), averaging 5.4 shots on target in recent matches
- The absence of São Paulo's top scorer Luciano (9 goals, 2 assists) significantly weakens the visitors' offense
- Mathematical analysis favors Cruzeiro with a calculated home win probability of 44%
风险因素
- São Paulo concede an average of 2.22 goals per away game
- Cruzeiro must play without Keny Arroyo (4 goals, 4 assists) and Fagner (0 goals, 4 assists)
- São Paulo dominated recent encounters, winning 3 of the last 5 matches
概述
Cruzeiro host São Paulo at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
Serie A match on October 8, 2026, 1:30 AM
Cruzeiro are in 6th place with 45 points, São Paulo are 10th with 36 points
Both teams compete for crucial points in the mid-table
近期状态
Cruzeiro's recent form is WLWLW with 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5 matches
Form code: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
São Paulo show a form of WWLWL with 3 wins and 2 losses
Cruzeiro won their last match 3-1 against Vitória, while São Paulo lost 1-2 to Santos
统计数据
Cruzeiro score an average of 1.50 goals per game this season and concede 1.43
São Paulo average 1.18 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per match
São Paulo's away weakness is highlighted by 2.22 goals conceded per away game
At home, Cruzeiro are defensively more stable, conceding only 1.00 goals per game
历史交锋
Out of the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Paulo won three times
Cruzeiro recorded one win, with one match ending in a draw
The last encounter in April 2026 resulted in a clear 4-1 home victory for São Paulo
São Paulo scored a total of 8 goals in these matches, while Cruzeiro scored 3
关键球员
Matheus Pereira is a key midfielder with 9 goals and 4 assists this season
Kaio Jorge has already contributed 7 goals and one assist this season
Lucas Romero completes the midfield with 2 goals and 3 assists
Forward Jonathan Calleri shines with 8 league goals so far
Artur brings danger on the wings with 2 goals and 2 assists
Marcos Antônio directs the play in midfield with one goal and 2 assists
Not nominated: Keny Arroyo (4 goals, 4 assists), Fagner (0 goals, 4 assists) and Luciano (9 goals, 2 assists)
门将
Otávio Costa guards Cruzeiro's net and has made 15 appearances this season
At home, he contributed to Cruzeiro's 3 clean sheets
Carlos Coronel starts in goal for São Paulo with 2 appearances this season
São Paulo have secured 6 clean sheets overall during this campaign
影响因素
The match will be played in very warm conditions at 30°C under clear skies
Humidity is at 38%
Cruzeiro's home record at the Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto shows an average of 2.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of the last 5 home games