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Grêmio – Internacional1 : 1
模型为何这样判断
Grêmio
1.12
总 xG
2.62
Internacional
1.50
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Grêmio | Internacional |
|---|---|---|
| 进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍) | −0.56 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球) | −0.13 | |
| 最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.6球) | +0.11 | |
| 状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均) | +0.11 | |
| 防守不足 (场均失1.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球) | +0.03 | |
| Gustavo Martins替补席 (3球, 2助攻) | ||
| Erick Noriega替补席 (1球, 1助攻) | ||
| Johan Carbonero替补席 (7球, 4助攻) | ||
| Bruno Henrique替补席 (2球, 2助攻) | ||
| Matheus Bahia替补席 (0球, 2助攻) |
关键因素
- Internacional is scoring more recently (1.6 goals) than their season avg (1.2) with a 44% win probability calculated
- Grêmio is in a form slump with 0 wins in their last 5 matches
- Arena do Grêmio averages 2.4 goals per match with an 80% BTTS rate
风险
- Internacional concedes an average of 1.54 goals per away match
- Grêmio averages only 1.05 goals scored per home match this season
全部概率
赛果
Grêmio27%
平局29%
Internacional44%
进球
大于 1.575%
小于 1.525%
大于 2.549%
小于 2.551%
大于 3.527%
小于 3.573%
双重机会
Grêmio或平局56%
Internacional或平局73%
非平局71%
双方均进球
是54%
否46%
最可能的比分
1:1
14%
1:2
9%
0:2
8%
2:1
7%
2:2
5%
首发阵容
Grêmio 4-3-3 · Internacional 3-4-2-1
Grêmio
- 1 W. Pereira da Silva
- 27 D. Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos
- 82 W. Gomes da Silva Santos
- 4 W. Kannemann
- 23 M. Rodrigues Xavier
- 10 F. Krovinović
- 15 D. Barbosa da Silva
- 20 M. Villasanti Rolón
- 7 C. Pavón
- 95 C. Alves Morais
- 9 F. Amuzu
Internacional
- 12 A. Spier Souza
- 15 B. Gomes da Silva Clevelário
- 25 G. Mercado
- 18 J. Ferreira Junior
- 35 B. Aguirre
- 5 R. Villagra
- 29 T. Maia Alencar
- 26 Alexandro Bernabei
- 28 V. Naum dos Santos
- 9 A. Barra Mansa Realino de Souza
- 10 A. Lourenço
替补
- 11 Tetê
- 2 F. Balbuena González
- 8 E. Noriega
- 99 J. Enamorado Gómez
- 22 M. Braithwait
- 12 G. Hamester Grando
- 3 W. Calvelo de Souza
- 5 J. Nardoni
- 38 C. de Oliveira
- 14 M. Rocha Aquino
- 6 G. Martins de Souza Santos
- 18 J. Maturano dos Santos
- 54 P. Crisostomo Pinheiro
- 30 C. Goncalves Ferreira da Silva
- 17 N. Eliasson
- 4 F. Torres Caicedo
- 7 J. Carbonero Balanta
- 23 M. Cunha Queiroz
- 41 V. da Conceição Ribeiro
- 27 P. Lucas de Paula
- 6 Matheus Bahia
- 16 R. da Silva Souza
- 8 B. Corsini
- 44 J. Alves de Morais Francisco
- 49 João Bezerra
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