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Bragantino – Cruzeiro4 : 2
模型为何这样判断
Bragantino
1.78
总 xG
2.92
Cruzeiro
1.14
我们的模型在开赛前给出的预期进球
模型的计算方式：每个因素都会为一支球队增加或减少预期进球。
| 因素 | Bragantino | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.5球) | −0.35 | |
| 最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2球) | +0.13 | |
| 状态上升 (2 vs 1.6 赛季平均) | +0.13 | |
| 最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球) | −0.06 | |
| Agustín Sant'Anna 替补席 (0球, 2助攻) | ||
| Lucas Romero未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻) | ||
| Fagner替补席 (0球, 4助攻) | ||
| 主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.2球) | ||
| 客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球) |
关键因素
- Model edge: The calculated home win probability stands at 51%
- Offensive threat: Bragantino averaged 7.8 shots on target in recent matches
- Key playmaker: Matheus Pereira recorded 3 goals and 3 assists over his last 5 matches for Cruzeiro
风险
- Defensive away struggles: Cruzeiro concede an average of 2.00 goals per away match
- Home side form slump: Bragantino are winless in their last 5 matches (0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Injury toll: Both teams are missing 5 sidelined players each
全部概率
赛果
Bragantino51%
平局26%
Cruzeiro23%
进球
大于 1.580%
小于 1.520%
大于 2.556%
小于 2.544%
大于 3.534%
小于 3.567%
双重机会
Bragantino或平局77%
Cruzeiro或平局49%
非平局74%
双方均进球
是58%
否42%
最可能的比分
1:1
12%
2:1
10%
2:0
9%
1:2
6%
3:1
6%
4:2
最终比分
首发阵容
Bragantino 4-2-3-1 · Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
Bragantino
- 18 T. Volpi
- 52 R. da Silva
- 16 G. Marques Alves
- 2 G. Rodríguez Ferrari
- 29 L. da Rocha Junior
- 7 E. Dos Santos Rodrigues
- 5 F. Silva de Freitas
- 21 L. Barbosa
- 47 W. de Souza Barreto
- 11 F. Dos Santos Pedro
- 8 E. Colcenti Antunes
Cruzeiro
- 81 O. Rezende Costa
- 12 W. de Asevedo Furtado
- 43 J. Messias Ferreira
- 34 J. de Jesus Alves
- 27 G. Rojas
- 5 J. Gomes da Silva
- 8 G. Santos da Silva
- 99 K. Arroyo Alvarado
- 10 M. Costa Pereira
- 38 F. de Morais Barbosa Penna dos Santos
- 19 K. Pinto Ramos
替补
- 9 I. Pitta Saldívar
- 32 J. Herrera
- 17 V. Mendonça Pereira
- 6 G. Girotto Franco
- 19 Bruno
- 35 M. Fernandes Siqueira
- 23 A. Sant'Anna Quintero
- 15 I. Sosa Ospital
- 12 V. Barbosa da Silva
- 1 C. Schwengber
- 3 E. Mendes Santos
- 34 J. Hurtado Cheme
- 22 G. Ribeiro Neves
- 28 P. da Silva Campos
- 20 W. Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira
- 97 L. Rodríguez Rosales
- 6 M. Viña Susperreguy
- 15 F. Soares de Faria
- 25 L. Villalba
- 9 B. Rodrigues do Nascimento
- 70 K. Takamura Correa
- 2 K. Moraes Silva
- 7 M. de Souza
- 11 M. Oliveira Alencar
- 23 F. Conserva Lemos
- 16 L. Silva Borges
- 1 C. Ramos
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