Friendly International

Colombia - Costa Rica

06/01/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Colombia
2.0
Total xG
2.8
Costa Rica
0.9
最可能的比分

2:0

12%

1:1

11%

2:1

10%

3:0

8%

3:1

7%
xG 分解
COLCR

Colombia

小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
-1.14
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.16
排名优势 (第13位 vs 第47位, 相差34位)
+0.14
防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.04
100%进球产出缺失 (仅0%可用)

Costa Rica

防守不足 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.1球)
+0.60
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.29
小样本 (2场) - 均值回归
+0.20
排名劣势 (第47位 vs 第13位, 相差34位)
-0.15
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.8球)
+0.35
+0.35
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

63%

平局

23%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

37%

非平局

77%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Colombia with 63% and calculates 2.00 expected goals versus 0.85 for Costa Rica
  • Colombia has only 0% of the usual starting XI goal threat active according to the home squad impact description
  • Costa Rica concedes an average of 3.5 goals per away game and has shown a weak defense in recent matches, including a 0-5 loss
风险因素
  • Costa Rica averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 3 games
  • Colombia concedes an average of 2.5 goals per home game
概述

Colombia host Costa Rica at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín

This is a Friendly International match on June 2, 2026, 1:00 AM

The game serves as preparation for both teams

近期状态

Colombia's form in the last 5 games is WDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

They recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The last result was a loss, with two consecutive losses

Costa Rica's form in the last 3 games is LDL

This corresponds to 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

The last result was a loss

统计数据

Colombia averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded per season

At home, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and 2.5 goals conceded

They have kept 0 clean sheets this season

Both teams scored in 2 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches

Costa Rica averaged 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 goals conceded per season

Away, they averaged 1.0 goals scored and 3.5 goals conceded

They have kept 0 clean sheets this season

Both teams scored in 1 match, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 matches

历史交锋

No historical head-to-head matches are available in the provided dataset

关键球员

For Colombia: Richard Ríos (Midfielder) recorded 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.33, his form is rising

Cucho Hernández (Attacker) scored 3 goals in the last 5 games with an average rating of 7.32

Luis Díaz (Attacker) contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games, his average rating is 7.22 and his form is rising

For Costa Rica: Josimar Alcócer (Attacker) scored 1 seasonal goal

Jeyland Mitchell (Defender) has an average rating of 6.60 in the last 5 games, his form is rising

Carlos Mora (Midfielder) provided 1 assist in the last 5 games, his average rating is 6.54 and his form is rising

门将

Colombia's goalkeeper, Camilo Vargas, has 0 clean sheets this season

His average rating in the last 5 games is 7.12, with rising form

Costa Rica's goalkeeper, Patrick Sequeira, also has 0 clean sheets this season

His average rating in the last 5 games is 6.64, and his form is also rising

影响因素

Colombia averaged 1.0 goals scored at home and 2.5 goals conceded

Costa Rica averaged 3.5 goals conceded away while scoring 1.0 goals

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