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La Liga

Levante - Villarreal

02/18/2026, 07:00 PM

0 : 1
预期进球
Levante
1.0
Total xG
2.4
Villarreal
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:1

11%

0:0

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

30%

客胜

44%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

双重机会

主胜或平局

56%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • League position gap: Third-placed Villarreal faces relegation-threatened nineteenth-placed Levante
  • Attack vs. Defense: Villarreal's potent offense (1.91 goals/game) meets Levante's extremely vulnerable home defense (2.2 goals conceded/game)
  • Statistical forecast: The mathematical analysis clearly favors Villarreal with a 44% win probability
风险因素
  • Poor form for both teams: Despite being favorites, Villarreal, like Levante, has only won one of their last five matches
  • Potential fatigue for Levante: The home team has had only three days of rest since their last match
  • Low goal threat: Both teams have a very low season average of just 2.4 shots on target per game, which could indicate a match with few chances
概述

Levante, 19th in the standings with 18 points, hosts Villarreal, 3rd with 45 points

The La Liga match will take place on February 18, 2026, at 8:00 PM at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Levante is fighting for crucial points against relegation, while Villarreal aims to solidify its position at the top of the table

The mathematical analysis favors the visitors with a 44% win probability

近期状态

Levante form (all competitions): LWDLL

In the last 5 matches, there has been 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The team is currently on a 2-game losing streak

Villarreal form (all competitions): LLDWL

The record from the last 5 matches is also 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

The last match ended in a loss

统计数据

Villarreal has a significantly stronger attack, averaging 1.91 goals per game compared to Levante's 1.13

Levante's defensive weakness at home is particularly striking, conceding 2.2 goals per game

Villarreal has a strong away attack (1.89 goals per game) but is also vulnerable defensively (1.78 goals conceded)

In Levante's matches, 11 out of 23 have had over 2.5 goals, while for Villarreal it's 13 out of 23

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villarreal has won 3 and Levante has won 2

The goal difference is clearly in Villarreal's favor at 12:5

Levante won the last encounter 2-0

Overall, Villarreal is considered to have been dominant in recent meetings

关键球员

Jeremy Toljan has contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season

Jon Ander Olasagasti has been directly involved in 3 goals (1 goal, 2 assists)

Goalkeeper Mathew Ryan consistently performs well with an average rating of 7.14

Alberto Moleiro is Villarreal's top scorer with 9 goals and 4 assists

Georges Mikautadze also impresses with 7 goals and 4 assists

Nicolas Pépé contributes to the attack with 3 goals and 3 assists

门将

Levante's Mathew Ryan has kept 4 clean sheets in 21 appearances this season

Villarreal's Luiz Júnior has managed 7 clean sheets in 20 matches

影响因素

Levante's weakness at home is a decisive factor, with only 1.1 goals scored versus 2.2 goals conceded per home game

Statistics from the last 5 games at the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia show an average of 2.2 goals per match

Both teams have scored in 3 of Levante's last 5 home games

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