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Super League

Servette - Winterthur

04/26/2026, 02:30 PM

5 : 3
预期进球
Servette
2.3
Total xG
3.3
Winterthur
1.0
最可能的比分

2:1

10%

1:1

9%

2:0

9%

3:1

8%

3:0

7%
xG 分解
SERWIN

Servette

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均2.4球)
+0.22
状态上升 (2.4 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
+0.22
防守实力 (场均失1.8球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.01
Timothé Cognat未进大名单 (2球, 4助攻)

Winterthur

防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+1.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.08
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
-0.08
Andrin Hunziker替补席 (9球, 4助攻)
37%进球产出缺失 (仅67%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.74
+0.74
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

65%

平局

21%

客胜

14%

进球数

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

双重机会

主胜或平局

86%

客胜或平局

35%

非平局

79%

双方进球

59%

41%

关键因素
  • Servette enters the match with a mathematical win probability of 65%
  • Servette shows a positive form trend and is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than its season average (1.7)
  • Winterthur's defense is very vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.27 goals per game
风险因素
  • For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker is not in the lineup, reducing the usual starting eleven's goal threat to 67%
概述

Servette (2nd place, 40 points) hosts Winterthur (6th place, 19 points) at Stade de Genève

Super League match on April 26, 2026, 4:30 PM

Servette is aiming for the top spots, while Winterthur is fighting against relegation

近期状态

Servette's current form is WLWWD

This corresponds to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from the last 5 games

The last match ended in a draw

Winterthur's form over the last 5 games is DWLLL

This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Winterthur has suffered 3 consecutive losses recently

(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

统计数据

Servette scores an average of 1.73 goals per game and concedes 1.73 goals over the season

At home, Servette scores an average of 1.76 goals and concedes 1.53 goals

The team kept 6 clean sheets, 4 of which were in home games

Winterthur scores an average of 1.06 goals per game and concedes 2.61 goals

Away, the average is 1.07 goals scored and 3.27 goals conceded

Winterthur has not managed a clean sheet this season

At Stade de Genève, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games, and more than 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games

Servette is currently scoring more frequently (2.4) than its season average (1.7)

Winterthur's goal production is stagnant (0.8), while its season average is 1.1

历史交锋

In the 5 past head-to-head matches, Servette was recently dominant

Servette won 2 games, Winterthur one, and 2 matches ended in a draw

Servette scored a total of 11 goals, Winterthur 7 goals

The last encounter on March 03, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw

关键球员

For Servette, Junior Kadile (4 goals, 3 assists in the last 5 games), Miroslav Stevanovic (2 goals in the last 5 games) and Florian Ayé (1 goal in the last 5 games) are important offensive players

Kadile's form shows a clear upward trend with an average rating of 7.88 in the last 5 games

Timothé Cognat is not nominated

For Winterthur, Théo Golliard (1 goal in the last 5 games, 4 goals, 4 assists overall), Nishan Burkart (1 goal, 2 assists in the last 5 games) and Roman Buess (1 goal in the last 5 games, 3 goals, 1 assist overall) are notable

Golliard and Burkart show a rising form trend with improved ratings in the last 5 matches

门将

Jérémy Frick is expected in goal for Servette

Servette has achieved a total of 6 clean sheets this season

Stefanos Kapino is in goal for Winterthur

Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet this season

影响因素

Servette shows a solid offense at home with an average of 1.76 goals scored

Winterthur's away record is defensively weak, with an average of 3.27 goals conceded per game

Stade de Genève has seen an average of 2.6 goals in the last 5 matches

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