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Super League

Winterthur - Zürich

05/02/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 2
预期进球
Winterthur
1.6
Total xG
2.8
Zürich
1.2
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

2:0

8%

1:2

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WINZÜR

Winterthur

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.1球)
全员可用

Zürich

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.35
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.16
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.16
Philippe Paulin Keny替补席 (12球, 3助攻)
Valon Berisha替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅60%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

28%

客胜

28%

进球数

Over 1.5

79%

Under 1.5

21%

Over 2.5

54%

Under 2.5

46%

Over 3.5

32%

Under 3.5

68%

双重机会

主胜或平局

72%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis slightly favors Winterthur with a home win probability of 45%
  • Form Trend: Winterthur shows stable form with an average of 1.2 goals in recent matches, while Zürich exhibits negative form with a stagnant goal production of 0.8
  • Head-to-Head Dominance: Zürich dominated recent encounters with 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 matches
风险因素
  • Zürich's squad strength is critical, with only 61% of the usual starting XI's goal threat available (Philippe Paulin Keny, Valon Berisha are missing)
  • Winterthur concedes an average of 2.18 goals per home game
  • Zürich recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
概述

Winterthur hosts Zürich at Stadion Schützenwiese

Super League match on May 2, 2026, 6:00 PM

Winterthur is in 12th place with 19 points

Zürich holds 10th place with 34 points

Both teams are fighting against relegation

近期状态

Winterthur: WLLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)

Zürich: LWLLL (1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses)

Winterthur lost 4 of their last 5 matches

Zürich lost 4 of their last 5 matches

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Winterthur averages 1.12 goals scored and 2.68 goals conceded per season

Zürich averages 1.32 goals scored and 1.94 goals conceded per season

Winterthur has averaged 1.12 goals scored at home and 2.18 goals conceded at home

Zürich has averaged 1.29 goals scored away and 2.36 goals conceded away

Winterthur has achieved 0 clean sheets this season

Zürich has achieved 2 clean sheets this season

Both teams scored in 23 Winterthur matches and 23 Zürich matches

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 26 Winterthur matches and 27 Zürich matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich recorded 3 away wins and 2 draws

Winterthur scored 4 goals, Zürich scored 12 goals in these encounters

Zürich won the last meeting 3-0 away on February 11, 2026

关键球员

Winterthur: Nishan Burkart scored 4 goals and 2 assists this season with a rating of 6.86

His form is rising with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games

Théo Golliard recorded 4 goals and 5 assists with a rating of 6.88

He showed rising form with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Andrin Hunziker scored 9 goals and provided 4 assists with a rating of 6.96

Zürich: Damienus Reverson scored 6 goals this season

Ivan Cavaleiro scored 3 goals this season and 1 goal in the last 5 games

Juan José Perea scored 1 goal this season and 1 goal in the last 5 games

门将

Winterthur goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino made 34 season appearances, his team achieved 0 clean sheets

Zürich goalkeeper Silas Huber made 12 season appearances, his team achieved 2 clean sheets

影响因素

The last 5 matches at Stadion Schützenwiese averaged 3.0 goals per game

Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 2 of 5 matches

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