Super League
Lausanne Sport - Luzern
05/02/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.5
3.0
1.5
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%xG 分解
Lausanne Sport
Luzern
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
38%
平局
27%
客胜
35%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
双重机会
主胜或平局
65%
客胜或平局
62%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
62%
否
38%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis shows Lausanne with a 38% win probability and Luzern with 35%, indicating a close match
- Head-to-Head: Luzern dominates the head-to-head record, winning the last two encounters against Lausanne convincingly (4-0, 4-0)
- Form and Offense: Luzern displays a stronger seasonal offense (1.94 goals/game) and scores frequently away from home (2.00 goals/game)
风险因素
- Lausanne's Goal Threat: Lausanne Sport's goal production has recently stalled with an average of 1.0 goals, while the season average is 1.6 goals, representing a negative trend
- Luzern's Away Defense: Luzern concedes an average of 1.93 goals per away game
- High-Scoring Match: The forecast indicates a high probability for both teams to score (62%) and over 2.5 goals (58%), suggesting an open and potentially unpredictable game
概述
Lausanne Sport (9th place, 39 points) host Luzern (7th place, 40 points) at Stade de la Tuilière. Super League match on May 2, 2026, 6:00 PM. The teams are closely matched in the lower half of the table.
近期状态
Lausanne Sport's form is LLWLW, with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games. The team recently won 3-0 at home against Zürich. Before that, they suffered a 0-3 away defeat against Sion.
Luzern's form is LWLDW, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. The team won their last away game 2-1 against Grasshopper. Their penultimate match ended in a 2-2 draw against St. Gallen.
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Lausanne Sport scores an average of 1.47 goals per game and concedes 1.68 goals per game this season. Both teams scored in 23 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 25 matches.
At home, Lausanne Sport scores an average of 1.48 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game.
Luzern averages 1.94 goals scored per game and concedes 1.82 goals per game this season. Both teams scored in 26 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 28 matches.
Away from home, Luzern scores an average of 2.00 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per game.
The Stade de la Tuilière sees an average of 2.8 total goals per game. In 60% of the games, both teams scored, and in 80% of the games, over 2.5 goals were scored.
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Lausanne Sport recorded 0 wins, Luzern secured 3 wins, and there were 2 draws. The goal difference is 4:15 in favor of Luzern.
The last encounter on March 22, 2026, saw Luzern win 4-0 at home. Luzern has been the more dominant team in recent direct encounters.
关键球员
For Lausanne Sport, Olivier Custodio is a key performer with 3 goals and 4 assists and an average rating of 7.07, his form is rising. Kévin Mouanga has 1 goal and 1 assist with a rating of 7.00, his form is stable. Theo Bair scored 6 goals with a rating of 6.96, his form is declining.
Not nominated: Omar Janneh (7G/1A), Seydou Traoré (2G/0A).
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto stands out with 12 goals and 12 assists and an average rating of 7.47, his form is stable. Kevin Spadanuda has 6 goals and 2 assists with a rating of 6.91, his form is rising. Pius Dorn scored 3 goals and 4 assists with a rating of 6.82, his form is rising.
Not nominated: Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira (7G/3A).
门将
Karlo Letica, the goalkeeper for Lausanne Sport, has kept 6 clean sheets this season.
Pascal Loretz, the goalkeeper for Luzern, has recorded 5 clean sheets this season.
影响因素
The Stade de la Tuilière is a venue that sees an average of 2.8 goals per match. In 60% of the recent games, both teams scored, and in 80%, over 2.5 goals were scored.
Lausanne Sport shows a solid offense at home with an average of 1.48 goals scored and a defense with 1.29 goals conceded per home game.
Luzern scores an average of 2.00 goals and concedes 1.93 goals per away game.