🇨🇭

Super League

Winterthur - Lausanne Sport

05/09/2026, 04:00 PM

2 : 1
预期进球
Winterthur
1.7
Total xG
3.1
Lausanne Sport
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
WINLS

Winterthur

防守不足 (场均失2.7球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
+0.89
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
+0.02
Alexandre Jankewitz替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1.1球)

Lausanne Sport

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.74倍)
-0.17
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.12
Olivier Custodio替补席 (3球, 4助攻)
Theo Bair替补席 (6球, 0助攻)
Brandon Soppy未进大名单 (0球, 4助攻)
Morgan Poaty替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Karim Sow替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
Seydou Traoré未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.2球 vs 总体1.6球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

44%

平局

26%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

83%

Under 1.5

17%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

56%

非平局

74%

双方进球

62%

38%

关键因素
  • Prediction Advantage: The mathematical analysis gives Winterthur a slight edge with a 44% home win probability, expecting 1.70 home goals versus 1.37 away goals
  • Home Team Attacking Trend: Winterthur shows a positive trend in expected goals, with an average of 1.65 xG in recent matches compared to 1.27 xG season average
  • Away Team Defensive Weakness: Lausanne Sport concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game and shows a negative form trend in goal production according to Advanced Stats
风险因素
  • Winterthur's Defensive Vulnerability: Winterthur concedes an average of 2.66 goals per game and has not kept a clean sheet this season
  • Lausanne Sport Player Absences: Six key players from Lausanne Sport are not in the lineup, including Olivier Custodio (3G/4A) and Theo Bair (6G/0A), which could impact squad depth
  • Lausanne Sport's Form Dip: Advanced Stats indicate a negative form trend for Lausanne Sport, whose goal production has recently stagnated at 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.6
概述

Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) host Lausanne Sport (9th place, 39 points) at Stadion Schützenwiese

Super League match on May 9, 2026, 6:00 PM

Winterthur is fighting against relegation, while Lausanne Sport is in the mid-table

近期状态

Winterthur shows poor form with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 5 games (LLLLD)

Their last match ended in a 2-2 draw against Zürich

In their last five encounters, Winterthur scored 6 goals and conceded 13

Lausanne Sport has 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 games (LWLWL)

They lost their last match 1-3 against Luzern

In their last five fixtures, they scored 6 goals and conceded 11

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Winterthur scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 2.66 goals per game this season

At home, Winterthur scores 1.17 goals and concedes 2.17 goals per home game

Lausanne Sport scores an average of 1.46 goals per game and concedes 1.71 goals

Away from home, Lausanne Sport scores 1.46 goals and concedes an average of 2.31 goals per away game

Winterthur has not kept a clean sheet in any game this season

Lausanne Sport has kept 6 clean sheets this season

Matches at Stadion Schützenwiese average 2.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches at this stadium

40% of the matches ended with over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 2, Lausanne Sport won 3

There have been no draws between these teams

Winterthur scored a total of 6 goals, while Lausanne Sport scored 9

The last encounter on April 4, 2026, saw Lausanne Sport win 2-1

Lausanne Sport has been the more dominant side in recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Winterthur, Andrin Hunziker is an important attacking player with 10 goals and 4 assists this season

Théo Golliard contributed 4 goals and 5 assists and shows a rising form

Nishan Burkart scored 4 season goals and 2 assists, and recently shows rising form with 3 goals and 1 assist in 5 games

For Lausanne Sport, Omar Janneh is the top scorer with 7 goals and 1 assist

Jamie Roche recorded 3 goals and 1 assist, scoring 2 goals in his last 5 games

Nathan Butler-Oyedeji has contributed 4 goals and 3 assists

门将

Winterthur's goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino has not recorded any clean sheets this season

Lausanne Sport's goalkeeper Karlo Letica has recorded 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Winterthur's home goals average 1.17 per game, while they concede 2.17 goals

Lausanne Sport scores 1.46 goals away and concedes 2.31 goals per game

Stadion Schützenwiese averages 2.6 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 40% of the matches at this stadium

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 40% of the matches

准备开始了吗?

创建账户,探索数据驱动的足球分析。随时可取消。