Super League
Luzern - Zürich
05/12/2026, 06:30 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.9
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%xG 分解
Luzern
Zürich
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
49%
平局
27%
客胜
24%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
76%
客胜或平局
51%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis favors Luzern with a 49% win probability and 1.74 expected goals
- Luzern's home offense, averaging 2.05 goals per game, faces Zürich's weak away defense, conceding 2.33 goals per game
- Luzern's more stable form with 2 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games compared to Zürich's weaker form with 1 win and 3 losses
风险因素
- Luzern had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which may lead to fatigue
- Zürich had only 3 days of rest since their last match, which may lead to fatigue
- Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals per away game
概述
Luzern (7th place, 40 points) hosts Zürich (10th place, 34 points) at the swissporarena
Super League match on May 12, 2026, 8:30 PM
Both teams are fighting for a better mid-table position
近期状态
Luzern's form across all competitions is LDWWD
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss from their last 5 matches
Their last match ended in a draw
Zürich's form across all competitions is LLLDW
This means 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last match ended in a win
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Luzern scores an average of 2.00 goals per game and concedes 1.83 goals on average this season
In home games, Luzern scores an average of 2.05 goals and concedes 1.90 goals
Zürich averages 1.36 goals and 1.92 goals conceded per game
Away from home, Zürich scores 1.33 goals and concedes an average of 2.33 goals
The swissporarena sees an average of 4.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and 5 out of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, there has been a balanced record with 2 home wins, 1 draw, and 2 away wins
Luzern scored 12 goals, while Zürich managed 9 goals
The last encounter on February 14, 2026, saw Luzern win 4-1 at home
The recent history shows an even balance of power
关键球员
For Luzern, Matteo Di Giusto (12 goals, 12 assists) and Oscar Kabwit (8 goals, 5 assists) are key attacking players
Andrej Vasovic has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games
For Zürich, Philippe Paulin Keny is a key player with 13 goals and 4 assists
Ivan Cavaleiro contributed 3 goals and 1 assist this season
Juan José Perea scored 2 season goals and found the net once in the last 5 games
门将
Pascal Loretz, Luzern's goalkeeper, played in 36 season matches and achieved 5 clean sheets
Zürich's goalkeeper Silas Huber made 14 season appearances and kept 2 clean sheets
影响因素
The swissporarena is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.0 goals per match
Luzern shows strong offensive play at home with an average of 2.05 goals scored and is defensively vulnerable with 1.90 goals conceded
Zürich concedes an average of 2.33 goals away from home, highlighting their defensive weakness on the road