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Super League

Grasshopper - Winterthur

05/12/2026, 06:30 PM

3 : 2
预期进球
Grasshopper
1.5
Total xG
2.8
Winterthur
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
GRAWIN

Grasshopper

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.55倍)
-0.30
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.12
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
-0.12
Simone Stroscio未进大名单 (2球, 0助攻)

Winterthur

防守不足 (场均失2.6球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+1.14
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.73倍)
-0.27
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.6球)
+0.13
状态上升 (1.6 vs 1.2 赛季平均)
+0.13
Fabian Rohner未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

42%

平局

28%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

78%

Under 1.5

22%

Over 2.5

53%

Under 2.5

47%

Over 3.5

31%

Under 3.5

69%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

58%

非平局

72%

双方进球

58%

42%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis shows the highest probability for a home win at 42%, with 1.52 expected home goals
  • Guests' defensive weakness: Winterthur concedes an average of 3.38 goals per away game
  • Form trends: Winterthur currently shows a positive goal development (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.2 goals), while Grasshopper's goal production is faltering (0.8 goals vs. 1.2 goals season average)
风险因素
  • Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Grasshopper's offense recorded an average of only 2.6 shots on target in their last 5 matches
  • Winterthur has not kept a single clean sheet this season
概述

Grasshopper (11th place, 27 points) hosts Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) at Stadion Letzigrund. The Super League match takes place on May 12, 2026, 8:30 PM. Both teams are in a relegation battle and desperately need points.

近期状态

Grasshopper's current form (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) is L W L L L across all competitions. In their last 5 matches, they recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses. Their last result was a 1-2 defeat against Zürich.

Winterthur shows the form L L L D W across all competitions. In their last 5 matches, they had 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. They recently won 2-1 against Lausanne Sport.

统计数据

Grasshopper averages 1.17 goals scored per game and concedes 1.97 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.15 goals and concede 1.6 goals. They kept 5 clean sheets.

Winterthur also averages 1.17 goals scored per game but concedes an average of 2.61 goals. Away from home, they score 1.19 goals and concede 3.38 goals. They have not managed a clean sheet this season.

The pipeline analysis predicts 1.52 expected home goals and 1.27 expected away goals. At Stadion Letzigrund, the last 5 matches saw an average of 2.6 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches.

历史交锋

In the 5 head-to-head matches between the two teams, Grasshopper won 2, Winterthur won 2, and 1 match ended in a draw. The goal difference is even at 5:5. The last encounter on April 11, 2026, saw Grasshopper win away with a 2-0 score. Recent direct duels have been even.

关键球员

For Grasshopper, Jonathan Asp Jensen is an important midfielder with 8 goals and 6 assists this season, holding an average rating of 6.94. Dirk Abels, a defender, scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist with a rating of 6.82. Defender Mouhamed El Bachir Ngom has an average rating of 6.87.

For Winterthur, attacker Andrin Hunziker stands out with 11 goals and 4 assists and a rating of 6.96. Nishan Burkart (attacker) has scored 5 goals and 2 assists, and his form trend is rising. Midfielder Théo Golliard contributed 4 goals and 6 assists.

门将

Grasshopper goalkeeper Justin Hammel made 36 season appearances with an average rating of 6.67 and achieved 5 clean sheets.

Winterthur goalkeeper Stefanos Kapino also played in 36 season appearances, with an average rating of 7.0. He has not kept a single clean sheet this season.

影响因素

The match takes place at Stadion Letzigrund on grass. Grasshopper scored an average of 1.15 goals at home and conceded 1.6 goals. Winterthur conceded an average of 3.38 goals per away game. In the last 5 matches at Stadion Letzigrund, an average of 2.6 goals were scored per game. Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%.

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