Super League
Winterthur - Luzern
05/16/2026, 04:00 PM
预期进球
1.6
3.3
1.7
1:1
11%1:2
8%2:1
8%2:2
7%0:2
5%xG 分解
Winterthur
Luzern
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
35%
平局
25%
客胜
39%
进球数
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
双重机会
主胜或平局
61%
客胜或平局
65%
非平局
75%
双方进球
是
67%
否
33%
关键因素
- Critical weakening for Winterthur: Only 25% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, as key players like Andrin Hunziker and Théo Golliard are missing
- Luzern in strong form: The away team is unbeaten in 5 games, with 3 wins and 2 draws during this period
- High goal probability: The mathematical analysis predicts a 67% probability for both teams to score and a 65% probability for over 2.5 goals
概述
Winterthur (12th place, 19 points) host Luzern (7th place, 40 points) at Stadion Schützenwiese
Super League match on May 16, 2026, 6:00 PM
Winterthur is fighting against relegation, while Luzern is positioned in the middle of the table
近期状态
Winterthur's form in their last five matches is 'LLDWL' (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
Their last game was an away loss to Grasshopper (2:3)
Before that, they had a home win against Lausanne Sport (2:1) and a draw against Zürich (2:2)
Luzern is in significantly better condition with a form of 'DWWDW' (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses) from their last five matches
The team recently won 1:0 at home against Zürich and drew 3:3 against Servette
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Winterthur scored an average of 1.19 goals per game this season and conceded 2.62 goals
At home, they scored 1.21 goals and conceded 2.11 goals
Winterthur has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Luzern boasts a significantly stronger offense with an average of 1.97 goals per game and conceded 1.78 goals
Away from home, Luzern scored 1.94 goals and conceded 1.75 goals
The team recorded 6 clean sheets this season
At Stadion Schützenwiese, an average of 2.6 total goals were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games, and 2 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
历史交锋
The head-to-head record between Winterthur and Luzern in their last five direct encounters is even
Winterthur won two matches, Luzern also won two, and one game ended in a draw
The goal difference is 12:11 in favor of Winterthur
The last meeting on March 15, 2026, ended with a 2:1 victory for Luzern
Previously, Winterthur won twice away against Luzern (3:1, 2:1)
关键球员
For Winterthur, Luca Zuffi is important with one goal in 5 games and a season average rating of 6.68
Remo Arnold scored 1 seasonal goal with a rating of 6.50
Fabian Rohner recently showed 2 assists in 5 games and has a season rating of 6.56
Luzern's offense is led by Matteo Di Giusto, who provided 12 goals and 12 assists this season (rating 7.41)
Oscar Kabwit contributed 9 goals and 5 assists, with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (rating 7.22)
Andrej Vasovic scored 6 seasonal goals, with 3 of them in the last 5 matches (rating 6.72)
门将
Antonio Spagnoli is in goal for Winterthur
The home team has not managed to keep a clean sheet this season
Pascal Loretz is the goalkeeper for Luzern
Luzern has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Winterthur's home advantage at Stadion Schützenwiese is characterized by 1.21 home goals scored and 2.11 home goals conceded per game
Grass is the usual surface for both teams
At Stadion Schützenwiese, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 out of 5 games