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Super League

Young Boys - St. Gallen

04/26/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 2
预期进球
Young Boys
2.0
Total xG
3.6
St. Gallen
1.6
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

1:2

7%

2:2

7%

3:1

6%

3:2

5%
xG 分解
YBSG

Young Boys

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.21倍)
+0.29
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.10
C. Fassnacht未进大名单 (15球, 7助攻)
23%进球产出缺失 (仅73%可用)

St. Gallen

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.28倍)
+0.21
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.08
Carlo Boukhalfa未进大名单 (11球, 3助攻)
Christian Witzig未进大名单 (4球, 4助攻)
Diego Besio替补席 (2球, 2助攻)
Tom Gaal未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.74
+0.74
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

45%

平局

24%

客胜

31%

进球数

Over 1.5

89%

Under 1.5

11%

Over 2.5

70%

Under 2.5

30%

Over 3.5

49%

Under 3.5

51%

双重机会

主胜或平局

69%

客胜或平局

55%

非平局

76%

双方进球

70%

30%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Young Boys with 45% probability
  • Young Boys show a strong home offense with an average of 2.00 goals per home game
  • St. Gallen's goal production recently showed a negative trend (1.8 goals currently vs. 2.1 goals season average)
风险因素
  • Young Boys have a negative record on artificial turf with 0W-0D-1L (1:4 goals)
  • St. Gallen only has 87% of their usual starting eleven's goal threat available, with Carlo Boukhalfa (11 goals/3 assists) and Christian Witzig (4 goals/4 assists) among those missing
  • Both teams show a negative form trend in recent goal production according to Advanced Stats
概述

Young Boys (6th place, 48 points) host St. Gallen (2nd place, 60 points) at STADE DE SUISSE Wankdorf Bern

Super League match on April 26, 2026, 4:30 PM

St. Gallen aims to solidify its second place in the table, while Young Boys try to stay in the upper half of the table

The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 45%

近期状态

Young Boys showed a form of "LWDDD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last five matches

They have drawn their last three games consecutively

St. Gallen is unbeaten in five matches with a form of "WDDWD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)

St. Gallen's last match ended in a draw

统计数据

Young Boys score an average of 2.00 goals per home game and concede 1.11 goals

St. Gallen scores an average of 1.88 goals away and concedes 1.24 goals per game

Young Boys have reached the "Both teams scored" mark in 23 matches, while St. Gallen did so in 24 matches

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 24 Young Boys games and in 23 St. Gallen games

According to mathematical analysis, both teams are expected to score with a 70% probability

An probability of 70% is calculated for over 2.5 goals

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, Young Boys secured three wins and St. Gallen two

The goal difference of 10:6 is in favor of Young Boys

The last encounter on February 11, 2026, ended in a 1:2 defeat for Young Boys against St. Gallen

Historically, Young Boys have been the more dominant team at home

关键球员

For Young Boys, Chris Bedia stands out with 16 season goals and 4 assists

Alvyn Sanches scored 9 season goals and 5 assists with an average rating of 7.45

Edimilson Fernandes recorded 2 season goals and 6 assists, his form is stable with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last five games

For St. Gallen, Alessandro Vogt is the top scorer with 15 season goals and 3 assists, most recently scoring twice in five games

Lukas Görtler contributed 7 season goals and 8 assists, Aliou Baldé scored 10 season goals

门将

Young Boys' goalkeeper Marvin Keller kept 7 clean sheets this season

St. Gallen's goalkeeper Lawrence Ati Zigi achieved 8 clean sheets in 30 appearances

影响因素

The match will take place on artificial turf

Young Boys have a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss with 1:4 goals on artificial turf

St. Gallen has a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses with 4:2 goals on artificial turf

Young Boys benefit from their home advantage with an average of 2.00 home goals scored and 1.11 home goals conceded

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