Super League
Lugano - Young Boys
05/03/2026, 02:30 PM
预期进球
1.2
2.7
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
7%0:2
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Lugano
Young Boys
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
30%
平局
29%
客胜
41%
进球数
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
双重机会
主胜或平局
59%
客胜或平局
70%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
56%
否
44%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a higher probability of an away win for Young Boys at 41%
- Young Boys shows a glaring defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game
- Lugano enters the match in strong form with a streak of 3 consecutive wins and 5 unbeaten games overall
风险因素
- Lugano's goal production has recently stalled (1.0 goals), while their season average is 1.6 goals
- Young Boys has been the more dominant away opponent in recent head-to-head matches, despite Lugano's current form
概述
Lugano (3rd place, 57 points) hosts Young Boys (6th place, 48 points) at Stadio di Cornaredo. Super League match on May 3, 2026, 4:30 PM. Lugano aims to solidify its position in the upper half of the table
近期状态
Lugano displays strong form with "DDWWW" (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
They have achieved 3 consecutive wins
Young Boys' form "WDDDL" is weaker with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss
They recently suffered a defeat
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Lugano scored an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceded 1.12 goals
At home, the average is 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded
Young Boys averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.82 goals conceded
Their away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game
Stadio di Cornaredo has seen an average of 2.60 goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games (80%)
Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 games (60%)
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano secured 1 win, Young Boys 2 wins, and there were 2 draws
The last encounter on March 22, 2026, ended in a 1:1 draw
Young Boys showed slight dominance in recent direct encounters
关键球员
Renato Steffen (Lugano) is in rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games (season average 6 goals, 3 assists)
Kevin Behrens (Lugano) has 11 season goals and 1 assist, but his form is declining
Anto Grgic (Lugano) registered 7 season goals and 5 assists
Alvyn Sanches (Young Boys) has 9 goals and 5 assists this season, but his current form is declining
Edimilson Fernandes (Young Boys) contributed 2 goals and 6 assists for the season, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Joël Monteiro (Young Boys) scored 4 goals and provided 3 assists this season
门将
Lugano goalkeeper David von Ballmoos has a season average rating of 7.14 and has kept 4 clean sheets at home
Young Boys goalkeeper Marvin Keller has a season average rating of 6.81 and 1 away clean sheet
Lugano has a total of 10 clean sheets, compared to Young Boys' 7
影响因素
Lugano has a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.50 goals and conceding 0.90 goals
Stadio di Cornaredo is known for an average of 2.60 total goals per game, with both teams scoring in 80% of matches