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Super League

Young Boys - Basel

05/10/2026, 02:30 PM

3 : 0
预期进球
Young Boys
2.5
Total xG
3.9
Basel
1.4
最可能的比分

2:1

9%

3:1

7%

2:2

6%

3:2

5%

3:0

5%
xG 分解
YBBAS

Young Boys

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.2倍)
+1.09
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.20
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.20
Alan Virginius替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
Armin Gigovic替补席 (1球, 2助攻)

Basel

最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
+0.08
防守不足 (场均失1.5球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
+0.04
Dominik Schmid未进大名单 (3球, 5助攻)
Ibrahim Salah替补席 (3球, 3助攻)
Albian Ajeti替补席 (4球, 1助攻)
32%进球产出缺失 (仅61%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.75
+0.75
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

60%

平局

20%

客胜

20%

进球数

Over 1.5

91%

Under 1.5

9%

Over 2.5

75%

Under 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

55%

Under 3.5

45%

双重机会

主胜或平局

80%

客胜或平局

40%

非平局

80%

双方进球

71%

29%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with 60% probability and 2.51 expected home goals
  • Young Boys show a strong offense at home with an average of 1.85 goals per game, while Basel concede 1.76 goals away
  • Basel's positive form trend with a recent average of 1.8 goals contrasts with Young Boys' stagnating goal production (1.2 goals)
风险因素
  • Basel are missing key players: Dominik Schmid, Ibrahim Salah, and Albian Ajeti, reducing the usual starting eleven strength to 62%
  • Young Boys' goal production has recently declined (1.2 goals on average), compared to their season average of 1.9 goals
  • Both teams scored in 71% of matches, and over 2.5 goals are predicted with a 75% probability
概述

Young Boys (6th place, 48 points) host Basel (4th place, 53 points) at Stadion Wankdorf in Bern. The Super League match takes place on May 10, 2026, 4:30 PM. Basel is fighting to secure a European qualification spot, while Young Boys aim to climb higher in the table.

近期状态

Young Boys' current form is DDDLL, which equates to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games. Their last result was a loss, and they have suffered two consecutive losses recently. Basel's form is WDLLW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Basel won their last game. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss. According to the advanced analysis, Young Boys' goal production has recently stalled (1.2 goals), while Basel is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals) than their season average (1.5 goals).

统计数据

Young Boys averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game this season. At home, they averaged 1.85 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded. Basel averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.37 goals conceded per game. Away, they averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.76 goals conceded. Young Boys kept 7 clean sheets, while Basel recorded 9. At Stadion Wankdorf, an average of 2.6 goals were scored per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games (80%), and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 out of 5 games (60%).

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head matches, Young Boys recorded 2 wins, Basel 1 win, and there were 2 draws. Young Boys scored a total of 12 goals compared to Basel's 10. The last encounter ended in a 3-3 draw on April 4, 2026. The home team has been recently dominant in direct duels.

关键球员

For Young Boys, Chris Bedia stands out with 16 goals and 4 assists, plus 1 goal in the last 5 games. Alvyn Sanches scored 9 goals and 5 assists this season. Edimilson Fernandes contributed 2 goals and 6 assists, with 1 goal in the last 5 games. For Basel, Bénie Traoré was successful with 9 goals and 3 assists, as well as 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches. Metinho scored 3 seasonal goals and scored once in the last 5 games. Julien Duranville has 2 goals and 1 assist this season, with 1 goal in the last 5 games.

门将

Young Boys' goalkeeper, Marvin Keller, has made 35 appearances. Basel will be represented by Mirko Salvi in goal, who has played 3 games this season. Young Boys recorded 7 clean sheets this season, while Basel achieved 9 clean sheets.

影响因素

Stadion Wankdorf in Bern has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in recent matches. Both teams scored in 80% of games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%. Young Boys showed a strong offense at home with an average of 1.85 goals scored per game, while conceding only 1.1 goals on average.

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