🇨🇭
Super League
Thun - Young Boys
05/14/2026, 02:30 PM
3 : 8
预期进球
Thun
2.0
Total xG
3.8
Young Boys
1.8
最可能的比分
2:1
8%2:2
7%1:2
7%3:1
5%3:2
5%xG 分解
THUYB
Thun
防守不足 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.58
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均0.8球)
-0.41
状态下滑 (1 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.35
Franz-Ethan Meichtry未进大名单 (8球, 3助攻)
Genís Montolio未进大名单 (4球, 1助攻)
Young Boys
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.6球)
-0.09
Alan Virginius替补席 (4球, 7助攻)
Joël Monteiro替补席 (4球, 3助攻)
Armin Gigovic替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
28%进球产出缺失 (仅71%可用)
联赛
高进球联赛 (场均3.2球)
+0.74
+0.74
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
43%
平局
23%
客胜
34%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Under 1.5
9%
Over 2.5
74%
Under 2.5
26%
Over 3.5
53%
Under 3.5
47%
双重机会
主胜或平局
66%
客胜或平局
57%
非平局
77%
双方进球
是
74%
否
26%
关键因素
- Pipeline analysis: Thun has a home win probability of 43%, Young Boys 34%
- Home advantage and pitch condition: Thun has a strong record of 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses on artificial turf
- Opponent's defensive weakness: Young Boys concede an average of 2.73 goals per away game
风险因素
- Thun's form trend: Goal production has recently dropped to 1.0 goals per game, below the season average of 2.2
- Young Boys' absentees: Only 72% of the usual starting XI's goal threat is available, with Alan Virginius (4G/7A), Joël Monteiro (4G/3A), Armin Gigovic (1G/2A) not in the lineup