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Super League

St. Gallen - Thun

05/17/2026, 02:30 PM

1 : 1
预期进球
St. Gallen
1.4
Total xG
2.7
Thun
1.3
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:0

7%

2:2

6%
xG 分解
SGTHU

St. Gallen

防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.8球)
-0.45
最近5场中4场打进2+球 (场均1.8球)
-0.07
Alessandro Vogt替补席 (15球, 3助攻)
Lukas Görtler替补席 (9球, 8助攻)
Aliou Baldé未进大名单 (11球, 0助攻)
48%进球产出缺失 (仅58%可用)

Thun

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.24
状态下滑 (1.8 vs 2.2 赛季平均)
-0.13
防守实力 (场均失1.4球 vs 联赛平均1.5球)
-0.13
Christopher Ibayi未进大名单 (10球, 4助攻)
Leonardo Bertone未进大名单 (11球, 2助攻)
Fabio Fehr替补席 (2球, 7助攻)
Marco Bürki未进大名单 (2球, 2助攻)
Jan Bamert未进大名单 (1球, 1助攻)
26%进球产出缺失 (仅80%可用)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.7球 vs 总体2.2球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均3.3球)
+0.78
+0.78
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

29%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

71%

双方进球

57%

43%

关键因素
  • St. Gallen's current form with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5 matches is convincing
  • Thun's recent negative run of 4 losses from their last 5 games, with an average of 3.5 goals conceded recently, is alarming
  • Despite Thun's league lead, the mathematical analysis sees a slight advantage for St. Gallen with a home win probability of 38%
风险因素
  • St. Gallen's offense is limited with only 59% of their usual starting eleven strength due to missing key players like Alessandro Vogt (15 goals/3 assists)
  • Both teams face high demands with only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Thun displayed an extremely vulnerable defense in their last 5 games, conceding an average of 3.5 goals
概述

St. Gallen (2nd place, 60 points) host Thun (1st place, 74 points) at Kybunpark

Super League match on May 17, 2026, 4:30 PM

The hosts are aiming to close the gap to the league leaders

近期状态

St. Gallen's form (DWLWW) shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches

Their last outing resulted in a win (W)

Thun's form (WLLLL) is weaker with 1 win and 4 losses in their last 5 matches

Their last outing resulted in a loss (L)

Form string explanation: W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

St. Gallen averages 1.92 goals scored per game and concedes 1.24 goals per game

At home, they average 1.88 goals scored and 1.29 goals conceded per home game

Thun is stronger offensively with an average of 2.14 goals scored per game and concedes 1.38 goals per game

Away, Thun averages 2.12 goals scored and 1.38 goals conceded per away game

The Kybunpark averages 2.8 total goals per game

Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches at Kybunpark

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 matches at Kybunpark

历史交锋

In 3 head-to-head matches, St. Gallen and Thun each have 1 win, with 1 draw

St. Gallen scored 4 goals, while Thun scored 5 goals

The last encounter on March 5, 2026, ended in a 2:2 draw

关键球员

St. Gallen: Carlo Boukhalfa has 12 goals and 3 assists with a season average rating of 6.93

Chima Okoroji contributed 3 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.92

Jozo Stanic has scored 2 goals and provided 0 assists in 32 appearances, with a rating of 7.00

Thun: Elmin Rastoder is the top scorer with 15 goals and 6 assists, and a rating of 7.07

Kastriot Imeri recorded 6 goals and 7 assists with a rating of 6.98

Michael Heule has contributed 1 goal and 7 assists with a rating of 7.01

门将

Lawrence Ati Zigi of St. Gallen has kept 8 clean sheets this season

Tim Spycher of Thun has recorded 0 clean sheets in 2 season appearances

影响因素

The home venue Kybunpark has seen an average of 2.8 goals in the last 5 matches

Both teams scored in 60% of the matches at Kybunpark

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 80% of the matches at Kybunpark

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