La Liga
Elche - Sevilla
01/19/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
0.8
1.3
0.5
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
48%
平局
30%
客胜
22%
进球数
Over 1.5
82%
Over 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
25%
双重机会
主胜或平局
78%
客胜或平局
52%
非平局
70%
双方进球
是
45%
否
55%
关键因素
- Elche strong at home with only 0.62 goals conceded per game
- Sevilla weak away: 4 defeats in a row, 1.75 goals conceded/game
- Home advantage at Estadio Martínez Valero: 80% Over 2.5 rate
风险因素
- Sevilla historically superior with 2:0 wins in head-to-head
- Several players from both teams with unclear injury status
概述
Elche (11th place, 23 points) host Sevilla (16th place, 20 points) at Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero. La Liga match on January 19, 2026, 9:00 PM. Battle for important points between secure mid-table team and relegation candidates.
近期状态
Elche: WWLDL - 2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses. Sevilla: WLLLL - 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses. Sevilla with negative run of 4 consecutive losses before last win, Elche more stable with only 1 defeat in last 5 games.
统计数据
Elche: 1.32 goals/game, 1.26 goals conceded/game. Sevilla: 1.26 goals/game, 1.58 goals conceded/game. Clear home advantage for Elche: at home 1.31 goals, only 0.62 conceded. Sevilla weak away with 1.25 goals, 1.75 conceded. BTTS in 12 of 19 Elche games, 10 of 19 Sevilla games.
历史交锋
5 direct meetings: Elche 0 wins, Sevilla 2 wins, 3 draws. Goal ratio 4:9 for Sevilla. Last encounter: 2:2 in September 2025. Sevilla with recentDominant as away team historically superior.
关键球员
Álvaro Rodríguez (3 goals, 4 assists, 7.16 last 5 games). Martim Neto with 2 goals in 5 games, 6.97 rating. Léo Pétrot with 1 goal, 7.22 rating last 5. For Sevilla: Isaac Romero (3 goals), Lucien Agoumé with 7.03 rating last 5 games. Odysseas Vlachodimos consistent with 7.03 rating.
门将
Iñaki Peña confirmed for Elche with 7.45 rating last 5 games. Odysseas Vlachodimos for Sevilla with 7.03 rating last 5 games. Both goalkeepers in good form.
影响因素
Stadium characteristics: 3.4 goals/game, 60% BTTS, 80% Over 2.5. Home advantage for Elche: at home only 0.62 goals conceded/game vs 2.67 away. Sevilla away problematic with 1.75 goals conceded/game. Grass surface record: Elche 4W-2D-4L, Sevilla 3W-1D-6L.