La Liga
Rayo Vallecano - Osasuna
01/24/2026, 01:00 PM
预期进球
1.4
2.8
1.4
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
34%
平局
33%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
28%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
66%
非平局
67%
双方进球
是
59%
否
41%
关键因素
- Rayo Vallecano's strong home offense (2.4 goals average) meets Osasuna's extremely weak away defense (4.33 goals conceded average)
- Osasuna's striker Ante Budimir is in top form, having scored 4 goals in the last 5 matches, posing a challenge to Rayo's weakened defense
- Both teams are weakened by key absences: Rayo is missing several defenders (Ratiu, Balliu, Mendy), while Osasuna must manage without defensive leader Alejandro Catena
风险因素
- Osasuna's recent positive trend (averaging 1.8 goals in recent games) could lead them to overcome their poor away record
- Rayo Vallecano's form is negative, with two consecutive losses and a dip in goal production, which could continue despite their home advantage
- The head-to-head record is perfectly balanced, suggesting that past encounters have been unpredictable and not dictated by home advantage
概述
Rayo Vallecano, in 13th place with 22 points, hosts Osasuna, who are in 12th place with 22 points as well
The La Liga match will take place on January 24, 2026, at 2:00 PM at the Estadio de Vallecas
This is a clash between two direct mid-table neighbors
近期状态
Rayo Vallecano: DWWLL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses in the last 5 games)
Osasuna: WDLDW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss in the last 5 games)
Osasuna is in slightly better form and won their last match, while Rayo Vallecano has suffered two consecutive defeats
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Rayo Vallecano's offense is very strong at home, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while their defense concedes only 0.4 goals
In contrast, Osasuna is very vulnerable away, conceding an average of 4.33 goals while only scoring one goal per game themselves
Rayo Vallecano has scored in every match this season, whereas Osasuna failed to score in 8 games
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, the record is completely balanced with 2 wins each for Rayo Vallecano and Osasuna, and one draw
The goal difference is also even at 6:6
Osasuna won the last meeting 2-0
关键球员
Jorge de Frutos is a key offensive player for Rayo Vallecano with 6 season goals, supported by Álvaro García, who is on a rising form trend
For Osasuna, striker Ante Budimir is in outstanding form with 8 season goals, 4 of which came in the last 5 matches
Rubén García contributes experience and 4 assists
门将
Rayo Vallecano's Augusto Batalla faces Osasuna's Sergio Herrera
Both goalkeepers have played 20 matches this season
Statistically, the matchup is balanced, with Osasuna having kept slightly more clean sheets (5 to 4)
影响因素
The Estadio de Vallecas has historically been a low-scoring venue, with an average of just 2.0 goals in recent games
Rayo Vallecano has a strong home record, scoring 2.4 goals per game while conceding only 0.4
A crucial factor is Osasuna's extreme defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 4.33 goals per game