La Liga
Elche - FC Barcelona
01/31/2026, 08:00 PM
预期进球
1.3
3.4
2.1
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
16%
平局
24%
客胜
60%
进球数
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
78%
Over 3.5
54%
双重机会
主胜或平局
40%
客胜或平局
84%
非平局
76%
双方进球
是
65%
否
35%
关键因素
- Matchup advantage: Barcelona's high-powered away attack (2.6 goals per game) meets Elche's strong home defense (0.71 goals conceded per game), which is the central tactical challenge
- Form and H2H dominance: The significant gap in form (4 wins for Barça vs. 0 for Elche in the last 5) and Barcelona's victory in all 5 previous head-to-head matches point to a clear favorite
- Offensive firepower: While Barcelona has multiple top scorers like Lewandowski, Torres, and Yamal, Elche is missing their top scorer, the injured Rafa Mir
风险因素
- Fatigue: Barcelona has a significant disadvantage with only 3 days of rest compared to Elche's 8, which could impact performance
- Elche's Home Fortress: Despite poor overall form, Elche has a strong defensive record at home (only 0.71 goals conceded per game), which could frustrate Barcelona
- Midfield Absences: Barcelona is missing key creative midfielders Pedri and Gavi, which could affect their build-up play
概述
Elche (12th place, 24 points) hosts league leaders FC Barcelona (1st place, 52 points) at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
The La Liga match will take place on January 31, 2026, at 9:00 PM
Barcelona aims to consolidate their lead at the top of the table, while Elche looks to secure their mid-table position
近期状态
Elche: LDLDL - 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
FC Barcelona: WLWWW - 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss
The form clearly favors FC Barcelona, who have won four of their last five matches, whereas Elche remains winless
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
FC Barcelona's attack, averaging 2.71 goals per game, is significantly stronger than Elche's 1.38 goals
Defensively, Barcelona is also more stable with 1.05 goals conceded per game compared to Elche's 1.38
Elche is very strong defensively at home, conceding only 0.71 goals per game
Barcelona is extremely dangerous away from home, scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game
Recent matches at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero have been high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals
历史交锋
In the last 5 direct encounters, FC Barcelona has clearly dominated, winning all 5 matches
Elche has not won a single game, and there have been no draws
The goal difference of 15:4 in favor of FC Barcelona highlights this superiority
The last meeting ended in a 3-1 victory for Barcelona
关键球员
For Elche, the offensive responsibility lies with Álvaro Rodríguez (4 season goals, 4 assists) and Germán Valera (4 goals)
For FC Barcelona, several players are dangerous, including Ferran Torres (11 season goals), Robert Lewandowski (9 goals), and the in-form Lamine Yamal (8 goals, 8 assists)
门将
In goal for Elche is Iñaki Peña; the team has kept 5 clean sheets this season
Starting for FC Barcelona is Joan García, whose team has already kept 8 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Elche's defensive strength at home is a key factor, with only 0.71 goals conceded per game at their own stadium
However, the last five matches at this venue have been very high-scoring, with an average of 3.8 goals and 100% of games featuring over 2.5 goals
On natural grass, FC Barcelona has an impressive record of 9 wins in their last 10 matches