Liga MX
Querétaro - Juárez
04/08/2026, 12:00 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.9
1.4
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%xG 分解
Querétaro
Juárez
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
39%
平局
28%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
61%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
60%
否
40%
关键因素
- Mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Querétaro with a 39% probability
- Querétaro has historically dominated Juárez with 4 wins in 5 direct encounters
- Juárez displays a strong away offense with 1.54 goals per away game
风险因素
- Querétaro's goal production is stagnant with an average of 0.7 goals in recent form, below their season average of 1.1
- Juárez concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
- The mathematical model predicts a draw probability of 28%
概述
Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) host Juárez (8th place, 23 points) in Liga MX on April 8, 2026, 00:00
Both teams are in the mid-table, with Juárez three points ahead of Querétaro
This encounter is important for both teams to stay in touch with the top half of the league
近期状态
Querétaro's form in all competitions is LLDDW
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games
The last match ended in a 1-0 win against Toluca
Juárez shows form WLDWD in all competitions
This means 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in the last five matches
The most recent game was a 1-1 draw against Puebla
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Querétaro scores an average of 0.97 goals per game and concedes 1.55 goals per game over the season
At home, the average is 0.95 goals scored per game and 0.89 goals conceded per game
Juárez scores an average of 1.52 goals per game and concedes 1.67 goals per game over the season
Away, the average is 1.54 goals scored per game and 2.15 goals conceded per game
Querétaro recorded 8 clean sheets, while Juárez achieved 3 clean sheets
For Querétaro, over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 matches, for Juárez in 22 matches
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, Querétaro has secured 4 wins and Juárez 1 win
The goal difference stands at 9:3 in favor of Querétaro
The last meeting on November 8, 2025, ended in a 2:1 victory for then-home team Juárez
关键球员
For Querétaro, Alí Ávila (9 goals, 0 assists), Santiago Homenchenko (5 goals, 0 assists), and Mateo Coronel (3 goals, 0 assists) are important players
Jhojan Julio (3G/3A) is not in the squad
For Juárez, José Luis Rodríguez (4 goals, 8 assists), Jairo Torres (3 goals, 2 assists), and Rodolfo Pizarro (4 goals, 2 assists) are prominent
Óscar Estupiñán (13G/3A) and Alejandro Mayorga (0G/3A) are not in the lineup
门将
Querétaro's goalkeeper José Hernández has achieved 8 clean sheets this season
Juárez's goalkeeper Sebastián Jurado has kept 3 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Querétaro's home strength is evident with an average of 0.95 goals scored and 0.89 goals conceded per home game
Juárez, on the other hand, concedes an average of 2.15 goals per away game and scores 1.54 goals per away game