Liga MX
Puebla - Juárez
04/04/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.1
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%xG 分解
Puebla
Juárez
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
28%
平局
29%
客胜
43%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
57%
客胜或平局
72%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
53%
否
47%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 43%, while a home win is calculated at 28%
- Juárez shows better form with 3 wins and 1 loss in the last 5 games compared to Puebla (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Juárez dominates head-to-head encounters with 3 wins against Puebla's 1 win
风险因素
- Juárez conceded an average of 2.25 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
- The model estimates the probability of a draw to be relatively high at 29%
概述
Puebla (14th place, 12 points) host Juárez (8th place, 23 points) in Liga MX on April 4, 2026, 2:00 AM. Juárez occupies a significantly better league position. The match is crucial for both teams to achieve their season goals.
近期状态
Puebla's form in the last five matches is WWLDL, which translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a loss.
Juárez shows better form in their last five matches with WWLDW, accumulating 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. The team concluded its last fixture with a win.
统计数据
Puebla has averaged 1.07 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.97 goals. The team kept 6 clean sheets and both teams scored in 15 matches.
In home games, Puebla averages 1.06 goals scored and 1.65 goals conceded. Juárez, on the other hand, averages 1.58 goals scored per away game and concedes 2.25 goals.
Juárez has averaged 1.53 goals scored per game this season and conceded 1.69 goals. The team kept 3 clean sheets and both teams scored in 25 matches.
历史交锋
In 5 direct encounters, Puebla secured 1 win, Juárez won 3 times, and there was 1 draw. The goal difference stands at 10:13 in favor of Juárez.
The last meeting on October 25, 2025, ended in a 4:4 draw. Juárez has been the more dominant team in recent head-to-head matches.
关键球员
For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez stands out with 7 goals and 5 assists this season, having scored 1 goal in the last 5 games.
Kevin Velasco provided 3 assists in the season and 2 assists in the last 5 games, showing a rising form trend.
Fernando Monárrez contributed 1 goal and 3 assists this season.
Not nominated for Puebla are Luis Gabriel Rey (2 goals/0 assists).
For Juárez, Óscar Estupiñán is a key player with 13 goals and 3 assists this season, including 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games.
Guilherme Castilho scored 6 goals and 2 assists this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 games.
Jairo Torres showed rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists this season, along with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games.
Not nominated for Juárez are José Luis Rodríguez (4 goals/8 assists), Rodolfo Pizarro (4 goals/2 assists), and Jesús Murillo (2 goals/1 assist).
门将
Puebla recorded 6 clean sheets this season.
For Juárez, Sebastián Jurado played in 32 season matches and achieved 3 clean sheets.
影响因素
Puebla scores an average of 1.06 goals at home and concedes 1.65 goals. Juárez scores an average of 1.58 goals away and concedes 2.25 goals. Juárez's away defense appears more vulnerable.