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Liga MX

Tijuana - Tigres UANL

04/04/2026, 03:06 AM

1 : 0
预期进球
Tijuana
1.2
Total xG
2.7
Tigres UANL
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%

2:1

7%

2:2

5%
xG 分解
TIJTU

Tijuana

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.63倍)
-0.74
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.6 赛季平均)
-0.13
Alan Vega未进大名单 (0球, 6助攻)
Unai Bilbao替补席 (2球, 0助攻)

Tigres UANL

最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
-0.18
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.42
+0.42
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

26%

平局

28%

客胜

46%

进球数

Over 1.5

77%

Under 1.5

23%

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

Over 3.5

29%

Under 3.5

71%

双重机会

主胜或平局

54%

客胜或平局

74%

非平局

72%

双方进球

56%

44%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis shows Tigres UANL as favorites to win with 46% probability and 1.58 predicted goals
  • Tigres UANL dominates head-to-head encounters with 4 wins in 5 matches and a goal difference of 14:3
  • Tijuana has only 87% of their usual starting lineup's goal threat available, with Alan Vega and Unai Bilbao missing
风险因素
  • Tijuana averaged 3.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Tigres UANL's goal production is stagnant (1.8) compared to their season average (2.0), indicating a negative form trend
概述

Tijuana (7th place, 24 points) host Tigres UANL (2nd place, 36 points) in Liga MX

The match takes place on April 4, 2026, 5:06 AM

Tigres UANL aims for a top position, while Tijuana tries to move into playoff spots

近期状态

Tijuana's form is DLLWL (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses) in their last 5 games

Tigres UANL's form is WLWDL (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses) in their last 5 games

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Tijuana recently lost 0-3 away against Necaxa

Tigres UANL lost their last away game 1-2 against Juárez

统计数据

Tijuana scored an average of 1.47 goals and conceded 1.34 goals per game this season

Tigres UANL scored an average of 1.77 goals and conceded 1.06 goals per game

Tijuana is defensively strong at home with an average of 0.6 goals conceded

Tigres UANL shows an offensive presence away with an average of 1.73 goals scored

Tijuana kept 11 clean sheets, while Tigres UANL recorded 13 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 16 Tijuana games, and 20 Tigres UANL games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 1 time and Tigres UANL won 4 times

There were no draws between the teams

Tijuana scored a total of 3 goals, while Tigres UANL scored 14 goals

The last encounter was won by Tigres UANL on November 30, 2025, with a 5-0 score

关键球员

For Tijuana, midfielder Kevin Castañeda is a key player with 11 season goals and 7 assists, recently scoring 2 goals and providing 1 assist

Midfielder Ramiro Árciga has 2 season goals and 7 assists, with 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games

Defender Alejandro Gómez contributed 2 season goals and recently scored 1 goal

For Tigres UANL, midfielder Juan Brunetta stands out with 14 season goals and 7 assists, recently scoring 3 goals and providing 2 assists

Attacker Ángel Correa has 13 season goals and 7 assists, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Attacker Diego Lainez contributed 6 season goals and 7 assists, recently with 1 assist and a declining form

门将

Antonio Rodríguez (Tijuana) has kept 11 clean sheets this season with an average rating of 7.17

Nahuel Guzmán (Tigres UANL) has 13 clean sheets and an average rating of 7.14

Nahuel Guzmán's form trend is rising with a delta of 0.52

影响因素

Tijuana scores an average of 1.45 goals and concedes 0.6 goals per home game

Tigres UANL scores an average of 1.73 goals and concedes 1.6 goals per away game

Tijuana shows a solid defense at home

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