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Liga MX

Santos Laguna - América

04/05/2026, 03:10 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Santos Laguna
1.0
Total xG
2.4
América
1.4
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

0:0

11%

0:1

11%

1:2

9%

0:2

8%
xG 分解
SLAMÉ

Santos Laguna

防守不足 (场均失2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.32
排名劣势 (第11位 vs 第4位, 相差7位)
-0.08
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.4球)
+0.05
Bruno Amione未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)
Haret Ortega替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
15%进球产出缺失 (仅81%可用)

América

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.14
状态下滑 (1.2 vs 1.7 赛季平均)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.1球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第4位 vs 第11位, 相差7位)
+0.05
Patricio Salas替补席 (1球, 2助攻)
Cristián Borja未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
Jonathan dos Santos替补席 (0球, 2助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.7球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

27%

平局

30%

客胜

43%

进球数

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

43%

Under 2.5

57%

Over 3.5

22%

Under 3.5

78%

双重机会

主胜或平局

57%

客胜或平局

73%

非平局

70%

双方进球

50%

50%

关键因素
  • Favorite Role: Mathematical analysis predicts an away win with 43%, América is significantly higher in 4th place in Liga MX
  • Historical Dominance: América won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Santos Laguna
  • Tactical Advantage: América displayed a possession-dominant style in their last 5 games with an average of 6.6 shots on target
风险因素
  • Form Trend: América's goal production is currently stagnant (1.2) compared to the season average (1.7), and goals conceded have increased (1.6 compared to 1.1)
  • Defensive Weakness: Santos Laguna conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game this season
  • Injuries: América are missing V. Dávila Zavala (Knee Injury) and D. Espinoza Acosta (Torn Lateral Collateral Ligament)
概述

Santos Laguna (11th place, 20 points) host América (4th place, 34 points) in the Liga MX on April 5, 2026, 4:10 AM. The match promises a clash between a team from the lower half of the table and a top club in the league.

近期状态

Santos Laguna's form in their last five matches is DLWLW, with two wins, one draw, and two losses. Santos Laguna won their last game 2-1 against Puebla. América's form in their last five matches is LLWWL, with two wins and three losses. América lost their last game 0-1 against Pumas UNAM. Santos Laguna's recent form trend is positive according to advanced statistics, while América shows a negative form trend.

统计数据

Santos Laguna has scored an average of 1.24 goals per game this season and conceded 2.00 goals. At home, they score 1.24 goals and concede 1.18 goals per home game. América is stronger offensively with an average of 1.55 goals per game and 1.03 goals conceded. Away from home, América scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.29 goals per game. Santos Laguna recorded 5 clean sheets, while América kept 11. Both teams scored in 18 of Santos Laguna's games and 15 of América's games.

历史交锋

In the last five head-to-head encounters, América clearly dominated, with four wins and one draw. Santos Laguna failed to win any of these matches. The goal difference in these meetings is 15:5 in favor of América. The last clash on October 5, 2025, ended in a 3-0 victory for América.

关键球员

For Santos Laguna, Lucas Di Yorio (4 goals, 3 assists) and Ezequiel Bullaude (5 goals, 1 assist) are key offensive players. Aldo López contributed 3 goals and 1 assist. For América, Brian Rodríguez stands out with 10 goals and 6 assists, as does Álex Zendejas with 8 goals and 4 assists. Raphael Veiga showed a rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games.

门将

Carlos Acevedo is Santos Laguna's goalkeeper and has played in 29 season matches, keeping 5 clean sheets. For América, Rodolfo Cota has appeared in 5 games. The América team kept a total of 11 clean sheets this season.

影响因素

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.24 goals at home and concedes 1.18 goals. América scores 1.50 goals away and concedes 1.29 goals per game.

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