Liga MX
Guadalajara - Pumas UNAM
04/06/2026, 02:07 AM
预期进球
1.6
2.5
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%1:2
5%xG 分解
Guadalajara
Pumas UNAM
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
53%
平局
28%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
47%
非平局
72%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pipeline Prediction: The mathematical analysis assigns a clear favorite role to the home team with 53% probability for a home win
- Current Form: Guadalajara is on a winning streak and shows a positive form trend
- Tactical Superiority: Guadalajara is possession-dominant and offensively strong with an average of 7.2 shots on target per game
风险因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a high draw probability of 28%
- Pumas UNAM's goal production has recently stalled with only an average of 1.4 goals, compared to their season average of 1.6 goals
概述
Guadalajara hosts Pumas UNAM in a Liga MX match on April 6, 2026, 4:07 AM
Guadalajara is in 1st place in the league table with 30 points from 12 games
Pumas UNAM is in 5th place with 23 points from 12 games
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 53%
近期状态
Guadalajara shows strong form with LWWWW in their last five matches
The team has recorded 4 wins and 1 loss, winning their last 4 consecutive games
According to advanced analysis, Guadalajara has a positive form trend, currently scoring more frequently (2.6) than their season average (1.9)
Pumas UNAM's form in the last five matches is DLWDW
The team achieved 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss during this period
Advanced analysis shows a negative form trend for Pumas UNAM, whose goal production has stalled (1.4) compared to their season average of 1.6
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Guadalajara scores an average of 1.81 goals per game this season and concedes 1.16 goals
At home, Guadalajara scores an average of 1.78 goals and concedes 0.83 goals per home game
The team kept 10 clean sheets, 7 of which were at home
Pumas UNAM scores an average of 1.53 goals per game this season and concedes 1.33 goals
Away from home, Pumas UNAM scores an average of 1.53 goals and concedes 1.60 goals per away game
The team kept 8 clean sheets, 3 of which were away
Guadalajara was involved in 'both teams scored' in 16 matches and 'over 2.5 goals' in 19 matches
Pumas UNAM was involved in 'both teams scored' in 20 matches and 'over 2.5 goals' in 14 matches
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guadalajara recorded 3 wins, Pumas UNAM 1 win, and there was 1 draw
Guadalajara scored 6 goals, while Pumas UNAM scored 5 goals in these encounters
The last meeting on October 6, 2025, saw Guadalajara win 2-1 away
Guadalajara has been the more dominant side in recent matchups
关键球员
Armando González is a key attacker for Guadalajara with 22 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 5 goals in his last 5 games
Roberto Alvarado contributed 4 goals and 5 assists this season and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games
Efraín Álvarez showed strong season performance with 3 goals and 6 assists, and assisted 1 goal in his last 5 games
Additionally, Ángel Sepúlveda (3 Goals/1 Assist) is not nominated for Guadalajara
Juninho is a crucial attacker for Pumas UNAM with 5 season goals and 2 assists, scoring 2 goals in his last 5 games
Robert Morales scored 4 season goals and 1 assist, with 2 goals in his last 5 games
Álvaro Angulo, a defender, was involved in 6 goals and 2 assists this season, scoring 1 goal in his last 5 games
Adalberto Carrasquilla (2 Goals/5 Assists) is not nominated for Pumas UNAM
门将
Raúl Rangel, Guadalajara's goalkeeper, recorded 10 clean sheets this season and shows a rising form trend
Keylor Navas, Pumas UNAM's goalkeeper, achieved 8 clean sheets this season and also shows a rising form trend
影响因素
Guadalajara shows strong home performance, scoring an average of 1.78 goals and conceding only 0.83 goals per home game
Tactical analysis shows Guadalajara was possession-dominant (59% possession) in their last 5 games, averaging 7.2 shots on target
Pumas UNAM played with balanced possession (50% possession) in their last 5 games, averaging 4.0 shots on target