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Liga MX

León - Atlas

04/05/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
León
1.2
Total xG
2.3
Atlas
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

12%

1:0

11%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
LEÓATL

León

排名劣势 (第14位 vs 第6位, 相差8位)
-0.10
最近5场中3场打进2+球 (场均1.2球)
+0.07
状态上升 (1.2 vs 1 赛季平均)
+0.07
Ismael Díaz替补席 (7球, 3助攻)
38%进球产出缺失 (仅74%可用)
主场表现强势 (场均1.5球 vs 总体1球)

Atlas

防守实力 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.67
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.30
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.12
排名优势 (第6位 vs 第14位, 相差8位)
+0.04
Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.9球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

38%

平局

32%

客胜

30%

进球数

Over 1.5

68%

Under 1.5

32%

Over 2.5

39%

Under 2.5

61%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

70%

客胜或平局

62%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for León with a 38% probability, with a draw at 32%
  • Atlas shows a vulnerable away defense, conceding an average of 2.9 goals per game on the road
  • León's goal production, according to Advanced Stats, has recently been higher at 1.2 goals per game compared to their season average of 1.0 goals
风险因素
  • Atlas only averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • León concedes a high average of 1.9 goals per game throughout the season
概述

León (14th place, 13 points) hosts Atlas (6th place, 18 points) in Liga MX

The match takes place on April 5, 2026, 2:00 AM

León is in the lower third of the table, while Atlas is competing for the top spots

近期状态

León's form in the last 5 games is WLLLW

The team achieved 2 wins and 3 losses

Atlas' form in the last 5 games is LWLDD

They recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses

León ended the last game with a win

Atlas most recently drew twice in a row

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

León scored an average of 0.93 goals and conceded 1.9 goals per game this season

Atlas scored an average of 1.31 times and conceded 1.76 goals per game

León kept 4 clean sheets, Atlas kept 6 clean sheets

Over 2.5 goals occurred in 16 of León's games, and also in 16 of Atlas' games

León scored an average of 0.95 goals at home and conceded 1.1 goals

Atlas scored 1.3 goals per away game but conceded a high 2.9 goals per away game

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, León has 2 wins, Atlas has 1 win, and there were 2 draws

León scored a total of 4 goals, Atlas also scored 4 goals

The last encounter was won by Atlas with 0:2 on October 23, 2025

关键球员

León's attacker Díber Cambindo recorded 5 goals and 1 assist in 12 season appearances, most recently 2 goals and 1 assist in 5 games

Fernando Beltrán (Midfielder) contributed 2 goals and 2 assists in 26 games, with 1 goal in the last 5 games

Ismael Díaz, who contributed 7 goals and 3 assists this season, is not in the lineup

Atlas' attacker Arturo González scored 5 season goals in 24 games, including 3 goals in the last 5 games

Diego González (Attacker) has 6 goals and 6 assists in 27 season appearances

Paulo Ramírez (Midfielder) scored 2 goals in 21 games, including 1 goal in his last 5 appearances

Gustavo Henrique Ferrareis, who provided 3 assists this season, is not in the lineup

门将

León's goalkeeper Óscar García kept 4 clean sheets this season

Atlas' goalkeeper Camilo Vargas recorded 6 clean sheets this season

影响因素

León's home games show an offense of 0.95 goals and a defense of 1.1 goals conceded

Atlas concedes an average of 2.9 goals per away game

The dataset does not contain information on venue history, surface, or weather conditions

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