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Liga MX

Querétaro - Necaxa

04/11/2026, 11:00 PM

3 : 1
预期进球
Querétaro
1.7
Total xG
2.7
Necaxa
1.0
最可能的比分

1:1

13%

2:1

10%

2:0

10%

1:2

6%

3:1

5%
xG 分解
QUENEC

Querétaro

最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.14
主场表现强势 (场均1.3球 vs 总体1.1球)

Necaxa

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.62倍)
-0.34
最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.05
Kevin Rosero未进大名单 (2球, 3助攻)
Franco Rossano替补席 (0球, 4助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均1.1球 vs 总体1.4球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

52%

平局

27%

客胜

21%

进球数

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

28%

Under 3.5

72%

双重机会

主胜或平局

79%

客胜或平局

48%

非平局

73%

双方进球

53%

47%

关键因素
  • Mathematical analysis favors Querétaro with a win probability of 52%
  • Querétaro's home strength with an average of 0.9 goals conceded per home game meets Necaxa's away weakness with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per away game
  • Necaxa enters this encounter in good form with two consecutive wins
风险因素
  • Querétaro had only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • Querétaro averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
  • Necaxa proved to be the more dominant team in the last 5 head-to-head matches, remaining undefeated against Querétaro
概述

Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) host Necaxa (11th place, 16 points) in a Liga MX encounter on April 11, 2026, 5:00 PM

The match promises a mid-table clash

近期状态

Querétaro's form in the last five games is LDDWD

This corresponds to 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss

Their last appearance ended in a draw

Necaxa, on the other hand, shows a form of LLDWW

They have recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses

Necaxa enters this match with two consecutive wins

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Querétaro averages 0.97 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.53 goals

Necaxa has an offensive record of 1.33 goals and a defensive record of 1.63 goals conceded per game

At home, Querétaro scores an average of 0.95 goals and concedes an average of 0.9 goals

Necaxa scores an average of 1.33 goals away and concedes an average of 2.2 goals

Querétaro kept a clean sheet in 8 season games, Necaxa in 3 matches

Both teams scored in 13 Querétaro games and 18 Necaxa games

Over 2.5 goals were scored in 15 Querétaro games and 17 Necaxa games

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro has not won a game, while Necaxa won 2 matches and 3 ended in a draw

Necaxa scored 7 goals in these encounters, Querétaro 3 goals

The last encounter on July 19, 2025, was won by Necaxa away with a score of 3-1

Necaxa has recently proven to be the dominant team in direct duels

关键球员

For Querétaro, Alí Ávila stands out with 9 season goals and scored 2 goals in the last 5 games

Santiago Homenchenko showed presence with 5 season goals

Jhojan Julio contributed with 4 season goals and 3 assists, including 2 assists in the last 5 games

For Necaxa, Javier Ruiz is particularly noteworthy with 5 season goals and 1 assist, scoring 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 matches

Tomás Badaloni scored 6 season goals and 2 assists, including 1 goal in the last 5 games

Lorenzo Faravelli provided 2 assists this season and in the last 5 games

Not nominated for Necaxa are Kevin Rosero (2G/3A) and Franco Rossano (0G/4A)

门将

For Querétaro, José Hernández was in goal for 9 season games, and the team achieved 8 clean sheets

Necaxa's goalkeeper Ezequiel Unsain played in 30 season games, with his team recording 3 clean sheets

影响因素

Querétaro shows a solid home defense with an average of 0.9 goals conceded

Necaxa concedes an average of 2.2 goals away, indicating vulnerability on the road

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