Liga MX
Atlas - Monterrey
04/12/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Atlas
Monterrey
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
37%
平局
32%
客胜
32%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
双重机会
主胜或平局
68%
客胜或平局
63%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Monterrey's historical dominance in head-to-head matches favors the visitors
- Monterrey's offensive strength (averaging 1.71 goals per game) meets Atlas' recently stagnant goal production (1.0 goals in the last 5 games)
- The mathematical analysis sees Atlas as a slight favorite to win with a 37% probability
风险因素
- Monterrey concedes an average of 2.0 goals per away game
- Atlas' goal production has recently stalled at 1.0 goals, compared to a season average of 1.4
- Monterrey has suffered three losses in their last five league matches
概述
Atlas (9th place, 18 points) hosts Monterrey (5th place, 31 points) in Liga MX on April 12, 2026, 3:00 AM
近期状态
Atlas' form across all competitions: WLDDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last match ended in a 0-2 loss away against León
Monterrey's form across all competitions: WLDLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Their last match ended in a 1-2 loss at home against Atlético San Luis
统计数据
Atlas averages 1.27 goals scored per game and concedes 1.77 goals
At home, they average 1.25 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded
Monterrey averages 1.71 goals scored per game and concedes 1.5 goals
Away from home, they average 1.69 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded
Atlas has seen both teams score in 17 matches and over 2.5 goals in 16 matches
Monterrey has seen both teams score in 18 matches and over 2.5 goals in 19 matches
历史交锋
In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas has 0 wins, Monterrey has 4 wins, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference of 5:13 goals clearly favors Monterrey
The last encounter on July 27, 2025, saw Monterrey win 3-1
Monterrey has dominated recent encounters
关键球员
For Atlas, Arturo González shows rising form with 5 season goals and 2 goals in the last 5 games
Diego González contributed 6 season goals and 6 assists
Manuel Capasso achieved an average season rating of 7.09 and 7.27 in the last 5 games
For Monterrey, Luca Orellano shines with 3 goals and 4 assists this season, including 2 goals and 3 assists in the last 5 games
Jesús Corona shows rising form with 4 season goals and 4 assists, plus 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Óliver Torres is a key playmaker with 8 assists this season and 2 assists in the last 5 games
门将
Atlas' goalkeeper Camilo Vargas made 27 season appearances and kept 6 clean sheets
Monterrey's goalkeeper Luis Cárdenas made 19 season appearances and achieved 9 clean sheets
影响因素
Atlas scored 25 goals in home games and conceded 22 goals
Monterrey scored 27 goals in away games and conceded 32 goals