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Liga MX

Tigres UANL - Guadalajara

04/11/2026, 11:00 PM

4 : 1
预期进球
Tigres UANL
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Guadalajara
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

10%

2:1

8%
xG 分解
TUGUA

Tigres UANL

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.77倍)
-0.77
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
-0.48
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.6球)
-0.40
状态下滑 (0.8 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
-0.36
Diego Lainez未进大名单 (6球, 7助攻)
Rômulo Zanre Zwarg替补席 (0球, 3助攻)
Vladimir Loroña未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)

Guadalajara

最近5场中5场打进2+球 (场均3球)
+0.32
状态上升 (3 vs 1.9 赛季平均)
+0.32
进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.26倍)
-0.28
防守实力 (场均失1.3球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.05
Richard Ledezma未进大名单 (1球, 8助攻)
Ángel Sepúlveda未进大名单 (3球, 1助攻)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.39
+0.39
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

36%

平局

32%

客胜

32%

进球数

Over 1.5

67%

Under 1.5

33%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

19%

Under 3.5

81%

双重机会

主胜或平局

68%

客胜或平局

64%

非平局

68%

双方进球

47%

53%

关键因素
  • Guadalajara shows strong current form with 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 matches
  • Tigres UANL is in a negative form phase with 3 losses in their last 5 games
  • Guadalajara averaged 8.8 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Tigres UANL only managed 3.6
风险因素
  • The provided dataset does not list any specific risk factors based on fatigue, match progression, away or home weakness
概述

Tigres UANL (2nd place, 36 points) host Guadalajara (1st place, 31 points) in Liga MX

Match on April 11, 2026, 11:00 PM

This is a top fixture between two teams from the upper half of the table, with Tigres UANL looking to leverage their home advantage

近期状态

Tigres UANL's form is W/D/L: LWDLL

The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches

The last two games ended in a defeat

Guadalajara shows strong form with W/D/L: WWWWD

They achieved 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five fixtures

The last match was a draw

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Tigres UANL averages 1.71 goals scored per home game and concedes 0.62 goals

They kept 10 clean sheets at home

Guadalajara is strong offensively away from home with an average of 1.85 goals per game, but concedes 1.62 goals

They recorded 3 clean sheets away

Overall this season, Tigres UANL averages 1.72 goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per game

Guadalajara has a season average of 1.81 goals scored and 1.19 goals conceded per game

For Tigres UANL, both teams scored in 20 matches and over 2.5 goals occurred in 18 matches

For Guadalajara, both teams scored in 17 matches and over 2.5 goals occurred in 20 matches

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres UANL secured 2 wins and there were 3 draws

Guadalajara has not managed a victory so far

Tigres UANL scored 7 goals and conceded 2 goals

The last encounter on September 18, 2025, ended goalless at 0:0

关键球员

For Tigres UANL, Juan Brunetta (season: 14 goals, 7 assists) and Ángel Correa (season: 13 goals, 7 assists) are in the starting lineup

Ozziel Herrera (season: 6 goals, 3 assists) is also included

All three players show a declining form trend

For Guadalajara, Armando González starts, contributing 24 goals and 1 assist this season with a rising form trend

Efraín Álvarez (season: 3 goals, 6 assists) and Roberto Alvarado (season: 4 goals, 5 assists) are also key attacking players

门将

Nahuel Guzmán is the goalkeeper for Tigres UANL, recording 13 clean sheets this season

Raúl Rangel is Guadalajara's goalkeeper, keeping 10 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Tigres UANL is defensively stable at home, conceding an average of 0.62 goals

Guadalajara demonstrates a strong away offense with an average of 1.85 goals scored per game

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