Liga MX
Puebla - León
04/11/2026, 01:00 AM
预期进球
1.3
2.4
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
11%1:0
11%2:1
9%2:0
8%xG 分解
Puebla
León
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
42%
平局
31%
客胜
28%
进球数
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
双重机会
主胜或平局
72%
客胜或平局
59%
非平局
69%
双方进球
是
50%
否
50%
关键因素
- Critical absences for Puebla: Only 4% of usual starting eleven goal threat available, without Emiliano Gómez (7G/5A), Edgar Guerra (4G/2A), Fernando Monárrez (1G/3A), Kevin Velasco (0G/3A), Luis Gabriel Rey (2G/0A)
- Critical absences for León: Only 0% of usual starting eleven goal threat available, without Ismael Díaz (7G/4A), Díber Cambindo (6G/1A), Iván Moreno (1G/4A), Fernando Beltrán (2G/2A), Juan Domínguez (1G/1A), Salvador Reyes (0G/2A)
- Mathematical prediction: The pipeline predicts a home win for Puebla with 42% probability, supported by León's high away goals conceded (Avg. 4.12)
风险因素
- León concedes an average of 4.12 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
概述
Puebla (15th place, 13 points) host León (11th place, 16 points) in Liga MX. The match takes place on April 11, 2026, 2:00 AM. Puebla is fighting in the lower third of the table, while León is trying to climb
近期状态
Puebla's form across all competitions is WLDLD, representing 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last result was a draw
León's form is LLLWW, with 2 wins and 3 losses. They have won their last two matches
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
统计数据
Puebla scores an average of 1.07 goals per game and concedes 1.93 goals per game this season. At home, they score 1.06 and concede 1.61 goals per home game
León scores an average of 0.97 goals per game and concedes 1.83 goals per game. Away from home, the average is 1.0 goals scored and 4.12 goals conceded per away game
Puebla saw both teams score in 16 matches, while León had both teams score in 15 matches. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 18 of Puebla's games and 16 of León's games
历史交锋
In the 5 direct head-to-head encounters, the record is even. Both teams have secured 2 wins each, with 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 10:10 for both sides
Puebla won the last meeting away from home with a 2-1 score on November 9, 2025
关键球员
For Puebla, Juan Pablo Vargas (Defender) is an important player with 1 goal and an average rating of 6.94, though his form has recently declined
For León, Valentín Gauthier (Defender) is notable with an average rating of 6.58 and recently rising form
门将
Puebla's goalkeeper, Daniel Gutiérrez, has achieved 6 clean sheets this season
León's goalkeeper Óscar García recorded 5 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Puebla averages 1.06 goals scored at home and concedes 1.61 goals. León averages 1.0 goals scored away and concedes 4.12 goals per away game