Liga MX
Monterrey - Pachuca
04/19/2026, 01:05 AM
预期进球
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
10%0:1
9%2:1
8%xG 分解
Monterrey
Pachuca
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
36%
平局
32%
客胜
33%
进球数
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
67%
客胜或平局
64%
非平局
68%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Pachuca's excellent form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 games, contrasting with Monterrey's poor form of 0 wins and 3 losses
- Pachuca's improved offense, currently scoring more frequently (2.0) than their season average (1.5), meets Monterrey's faltering goal production (1.3)
- The historical record shows Pachuca's slight dominance in head-to-head matches, notably the 3:0 victory in their last encounter
风险因素
- The injury to I. Fimbres Ochoa (Ankle Injury) weakens Monterrey's squad
- The close probabilities (home win 36%, draw 32%, away win 33%) indicate an unpredictable game
- Monterrey's current goal production is faltering (1.3 goals), which is below their season average (1.7 goals) and poses a risk
概述
Monterrey (5th place, 31 points) host Pachuca (4th place, 28 points) in a Liga MX match on April 19, 2026, 2:05 AM
Pachuca are ahead of Monterrey in the table with fewer games played, indicating a stronger starting position
The mathematical analysis predicts a close match outcome with a home win probability of 36%, a draw of 32%, and an away win of 33%
近期状态
Monterrey currently shows poor form with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches (LDLLD)
Their last result was a draw
Pachuca, however, is in excellent form and remained unbeaten in their last five matches with 3 wins and 2 draws (WDDWW)
The team won their last two games
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Monterrey scored an average of 1.66 goals per game this season and conceded 1.46 goals
The team kept 10 clean sheets and both teams scored in 18 matches
In home games, the average is 1.63 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded
Pachuca has a season average of 1.39 goals scored and 1.12 goals conceded, with 7 clean sheets and 18 matches where both teams scored
Away from home, Pachuca scored an average of 1.43 goals and conceded 1.43 goals per game
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, there have been 3 wins for Pachuca and 2 wins for Monterrey
The goal difference is 7:10 in favor of Pachuca
The last encounter was won by Pachuca away with a score of 3:0 on July 13, 2025
Pachuca dominated the recent encounters
关键球员
For Monterrey, the following players are significant: Óliver Torres with 1 goal and 8 assists and a season average rating of 7.13
Lucas Ocampos contributed 5 goals and 6 assists and has an average rating of 6.98, with his form declining
Jesús Corona scored 4 goals and 4 assists and showed stable form in the last 5 games with one goal
For Pachuca, Víctor Alfonso Guzmán Guzmán stands out with 4 goals and 7 assists, scoring 4 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games and showing rising form
Kenedy recorded 7 goals and 2 assists this season and was involved in 2 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Salomón Rondón scored 5 season goals, 2 of which were in the last 5 games, although his form is declining
门将
Monterrey's goalkeeper Luis Cárdenas played 20 games this season with an average rating of 7.03 and stable form
Pachuca's goalkeeper Carlos Agustín Moreno Luna played in 32 games and achieved an average rating of 6.9
Monterrey recorded 10 clean sheets this season, while Pachuca achieved 7 clean sheets
影响因素
Monterrey showed a stable performance at home with an average of 1.63 goals scored and 1.0 goals conceded
Pachuca scores an average of 1.43 goals and concedes 1.43 goals per away game