Liga MX
Cruz Azul - Tijuana
04/18/2026, 11:00 PM
预期进球
1.7
2.6
0.9
1:1
13%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%xG 分解
Cruz Azul
Tijuana
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
56%
平局
27%
客胜
17%
进球数
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
双重机会
主胜或平局
83%
客胜或平局
44%
非平局
73%
双方进球
是
49%
否
51%
关键因素
- Strong Home Offense: Cruz Azul averages 1.79 goals at home, facing an away-vulnerable Tijuana defense that concedes 2.29 goals per game
- Tactical Superiority: Cruz Azul showed an average of 6.6 shots on target in their last 5 games and dominated possession
- Mathematical Prediction: The pipeline analysis indicates a 56% probability for a Cruz Azul home win
风险因素
- Tijuana's defense is extremely vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 2.29 goals per away game
- Tijuana averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games (average)
- Cruz Azul's goal production is stagnant (1.6) compared to their season average (1.9)
概述
Cruz Azul (3rd place, 35 points) host Tijuana (7th place, 24 points) in Liga MX on April 18, 2026, 6:00 PM. The hosts are favorites, as the mathematical analysis shows a home win probability of 56%. Cruz Azul is expected to score around 1.71 goals, while Tijuana is projected to score 0.86 goals.
近期状态
Cruz Azul's form across all competitions is WDDLD. The team recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. Tijuana shows a form of LWLWW in all competitions, with 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five games. Cruz Azul's last five Liga MX matches show 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss. Tijuana achieved 3 wins and 2 losses in their last five Liga MX matches. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
统计数据
Cruz Azul averages 1.77 goals scored per game and concedes 1.11 goals. They kept 10 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 19 matches. Tijuana averages 1.47 goals scored per game and concedes 1.29 goals. They kept 12 clean sheets and had over 2.5 goals in 18 matches. At home, Cruz Azul scores 1.79 goals and concedes 0.95 goals. Away, Tijuana scores 1.43 goals and concedes an alarming 2.29 goals.
历史交锋
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul recorded 3 home wins and Tijuana had 2 away wins. Cruz Azul scored a total of 9 goals, and Tijuana scored 7 goals in these encounters. The last meeting was won by Tijuana on September 29, 2025, with a score of 2:0. Overall, Cruz Azul dominates the recent direct duels.
关键球员
For Cruz Azul, Gabriel Fernández (13 goals, 7 assists) and Carlos Rodríguez (7 goals, 5 assists) are key performers. Carlos Rotondi contributed 4 goals and 5 assists and shows a rising form. For Tijuana, Kevin Castañeda is the top scorer with 13 goals and 7 assists and is in rising form. Ramiro Árciga contributed 3 goals and 7 assists, while Mourad El Ghezouani scored 4 goals and 1 assist. Not nominated for Cruz Azul's starting lineup are José Paradela (8 goals, 7 assists) and Nicolás Ibáñez (2 goals, 1 assist). For Tijuana, Alan Vega (0 goals, 6 assists) and Unai Bilbao (2 goals, 0 assists) are not nominated.
门将
Cruz Azul's goalkeeper, Kevin Mier, had 10 clean sheets in 17 season appearances. Antonio Rodríguez, Tijuana's goalkeeper, played in 34 matches and kept 12 clean sheets.
影响因素
Cruz Azul shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.79 goals scored and defensive stability with 0.95 goals conceded. Tijuana, on the other hand, is defensively weak away from home, conceding an average of 2.29 goals.