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Liga MX

Mazatlán - Querétaro

04/18/2026, 01:00 AM

1 : 1
预期进球
Mazatlán
1.1
Total xG
2.2
Querétaro
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

10%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
MAZQUE

Mazatlán

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.64倍)
-0.78
防守不足 (场均失1.9球 vs 联赛平均1.7球)
+0.22
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.4球)
+0.06

Querétaro

防守实力 (场均失1.7球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
+0.46
进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.56倍)
-0.18
状态上升 (1.7 vs 1.1 赛季平均)
+0.16
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.04
Jhojan Julio未进大名单 (4球, 3助攻)
客场表现不佳 (场均0.7球 vs 总体1.1球)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.40
+0.40
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

33%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

66%

Under 1.5

34%

Over 2.5

38%

Under 2.5

62%

Over 3.5

18%

Under 3.5

82%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

67%

双方进球

46%

54%

关键因素
  • Pipeline prediction: A home win is calculated with a 34% probability, a draw with 33%, and an away win with 33%
  • Form advantage: Querétaro shows significantly better form with 2 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games compared to Mazatlán (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses)
  • Offensive improvement: Querétaro is currently scoring more frequently with an average of 1.7 goals per game than their season average (1.1)
风险因素
  • Querétaro concedes an average of 2.8 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • Mazatlán concedes an average of 1.84 goals per game (goalsConcededAvg)
  • The pipeline prediction indicates a very tight result with no clear favorite
概述

Mazatlán (16th place, 14 points) hosts Querétaro (12th place, 20 points) in a Liga MX match on April 17, 2026, 8:00 PM

The hosts are trying to move out of the relegation zone

Querétaro aims to close the gap to the playoff spots

近期状态

Mazatlán's recent form in their last five matches is WLDLL

This translates to 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses

Querétaro, on the other hand, shows better form with DDWDW in their last five games

This means 2 wins and 3 draws without a loss

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Mazatlán scores an average of 1.16 goals per game and concedes 1.84 goals

At home, they average 1.14 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded

Querétaro averages 1.03 goals scored and 1.52 goals conceded

Away from home, Querétaro scores 1.0 goals and concedes 2.8 goals per game

Both teams scored in 23 of Mazatlán's matches, while this happened in 14 of Querétaro's games

Mazatlán achieved 2 clean sheets in 31 games, while Querétaro kept 8 clean sheets

历史交锋

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, the record is even with 2 wins for Mazatlán and 2 wins for Querétaro

One match ended in a draw

The goal difference in these games is 7:4 in favor of Mazatlán

Querétaro won the last encounter 1-0 on November 2, 2025

关键球员

For Mazatlán, Josué Ovalle (5 goals, 1 assist) and Brian Rubio (2 goals) are in good form

Facundo Almada contributed 6 goals and 2 assists

For Querétaro, Alí Ávila with 9 goals and Mateo Coronel with 5 goals are key attacking players

Santiago Homenchenko also showed goal-scoring ability with 6 goals

门将

Mazatlán's goalkeeper Ricardo Rodríguez has scored no goals or assists in 14 season appearances

Mazatlán achieved 2 clean sheets this season

Querétaro's goalkeeper José Hernández, who had no goals or assists in 10 season appearances, helped his team to 8 clean sheets

影响因素

Mazatlán scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.33 goals at home

Querétaro scores an average of 1.0 goals and concedes 2.8 goals per game away from home

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