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Liga MX

Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna

04/23/2026, 01:00 AM

2 : 0
预期进球
Atlético San Luis
1.1
Total xG
2.1
Santos Laguna
1.1
最可能的比分

1:1

15%

0:0

13%

1:0

11%

0:1

11%

2:1

7%
xG 分解
ASLSL

Atlético San Luis

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.42倍)
-0.83
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.13
状态下滑 (1 vs 1.4 赛季平均)
-0.13
Sebastián Pérez Bouquet替补席 (2球, 3助攻)
Jesús Medina未进大名单 (1球, 2助攻)

Santos Laguna

最近5场中3场仅0-1球 (场均1球)
-0.07
客场表现不佳 (场均1球 vs 总体1.2球)
全员可用

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

34%

平局

33%

客胜

33%

进球数

Over 1.5

65%

Under 1.5

35%

Over 2.5

36%

Under 2.5

64%

Over 3.5

17%

Under 3.5

83%

双重机会

主胜或平局

67%

客胜或平局

66%

非平局

67%

双方进球

45%

55%

关键因素
  • Away defense weakness: Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away game
  • Head-to-head record: Atlético San Luis recently dominated with 4 wins in 5 direct encounters
  • Balanced prognosis: Mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with only minor differences in win probabilities
风险因素
  • Short recovery time: Santos Laguna had only 4 days of rest since their last match
  • Declining goal production: Atlético San Luis's goal production has recently dropped to 1.0 goals, compared to a season average of 1.4 goals
  • Negative form trends: Both teams show negative form trends according to advanced statistics
概述

Atlético San Luis (15th place, 16 points) host Santos Laguna (11th place, 20 points) in Liga MX

Kick-off is on April 23, 2026, 3:00 AM CEST

The mathematical analysis predicts a very close match with a 34% home win probability and a 33% away win probability

近期状态

Atlético San Luis's form in all competitions is DLWDL

The team recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches

Atlético San Luis's goal production has recently stalled (1.0 goals), with a season average of 1.4 goals

Santos Laguna's form in all competitions is LWDLL

The team achieved 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five matches

Santos Laguna's goal production has also stalled (1.0 goals), with a season average of 1.2 goals

统计数据

Atlético San Luis scores an average of 1.4 goals per home game and concedes 1.73 goals

Both teams scored in 21 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 matches

Santos Laguna scores an average of 1.21 goals away and concedes 3.0 goals per game

Santos Laguna recorded both teams scoring in 20 matches and over 2.5 goals in 23 matches

The mathematical model predicts over 2.5 goals will be scored with a 36% probability

The probability of both teams scoring is 45% according to the model

历史交锋

In 5 direct encounters, Atlético San Luis won 4 times, while Santos Laguna won 1 time

There were no draws between the teams

Atlético San Luis scored a total of 13 goals, Santos Laguna 6 goals

Atlético San Luis won the last encounter 4:1 on September 21, 2025

The home team dominated recent head-to-head matches

关键球员

For Atlético San Luis, João Pedro (24 goals, 0 assists), Sébastien Salles-Lamonge (5 goals, 6 assists), and David Rodríguez (1 goal, 0 assists) are important players

Atlético San Luis will be without Sebastián Pérez Bouquet (2 goals, 3 assists) and Jesús Medina (1 goal, 2 assists), who are not in the starting lineup

For Santos Laguna, Lucas Di Yorio (5 goals, 3 assists), Ezequiel Bullaude (5 goals, 1 assist), and Fran Villalba (3 goals, 2 assists) are key players

门将

Andrés Sánchez played in 30 season games for Atlético San Luis

Atlético San Luis's team achieved 6 clean sheets this season

Andrés Sánchez shows a rising form trend

Héctor Holguín played in 1 game for Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna recorded 5 clean sheets this season

影响因素

Atlético San Luis scores an average of 1.4 goals in home games

Santos Laguna concedes an average of 3.0 goals per away match

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