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Liga MX

Atlas - Tigres UANL

04/23/2026, 01:00 AM

0 : 0
预期进球
Atlas
1.0
Total xG
2.6
Tigres UANL
1.6
最可能的比分

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

0:2

9%

2:1

6%

1:3

5%
xG 分解
ATLTU

Atlas

进攻不足 (联赛平均的0.61倍)
-0.95
最近5场中5场仅0-1球 (场均0.4球)
-0.28
状态下滑 (0.7 vs 1.3 赛季平均)
-0.20
最近5场中3场零封
-0.15
Arturo González未进大名单 (5球, 0助攻)
Gaddi Aguirre替补席 (1球, 1助攻)
27%进球产出缺失 (仅94%可用)

Tigres UANL

进攻实力 (联赛平均的1.3倍)
+0.42
最近5场中4场仅0-1球 (场均1.2球)
-0.23
状态下滑 (1.5 vs 2 赛季平均)
-0.14
防守实力 (场均失1.2球 vs 联赛平均1.2球)
-0.04
Juan Brunetta替补席 (16球, 8助攻)
Vladimir Loroña未进大名单 (0球, 2助攻)
17%进球产出缺失 (仅89%可用)

联赛

高进球联赛 (场均2.9球)
+0.41
+0.41
模型概率

比赛结果

主胜

23%

平局

29%

客胜

49%

进球数

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

47%

Under 2.5

53%

Over 3.5

25%

Under 3.5

75%

双重机会

主胜或平局

51%

客胜或平局

77%

非平局

71%

双方进球

51%

49%

关键因素
  • Mathematical prediction: Tigres UANL is the clear favorite with a win probability of 49%
  • Season performance: Tigres UANL (2nd place) clearly outperforms Atlas (7th place) in league standings and offensive power (avg. 1.76 to 1.22 goals)
  • Head-to-head record: Tigres UANL has been the more dominant team in recent direct clashes
风险因素
  • Atlas shows stagnant goal production with an average of 0.7 goals recently, compared to the season average of 1.3 goals
  • Tigres UANL records stagnant goal production of an average of 1.5 goals recently, compared to the season average of 2.0 goals
概述

Atlas (7th place, 22 points) hosts Tigres UANL (2nd place, 36 points) in a Liga MX match on April 23, 2026, 3:00 AM

Tigres UANL aims to solidify its top position and maintain the gap to the league leaders

近期状态

Atlas' last five games show a form of DDLDW

This translates to one win, three draws, and one loss

Atlas recently won 1-0 against Santos Laguna

Tigres UANL's form in the last five matches is DLLWD

They achieved one win, two draws, and two losses

In their last game, Tigres UANL drew 1-1 with Necaxa

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

统计数据

Atlas averages 1.22 goals scored per game and concedes 1.66 goals

In home games, Atlas averages 1.19 goals scored and concedes 1.05 goals

Atlas kept 8 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 17 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 16 games

Tigres UANL averages 1.76 goals scored per game and concedes 1.05 goals

In away games, Tigres UANL averages 1.80 goals scored and concedes 1.73 goals

Tigres UANL kept 13 clean sheets

Both teams scored in 22 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 games

历史交锋

In 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas secured one win, Tigres UANL claimed two wins, and there were two draws

The goal difference over the last five games is 5:6 in favor of Tigres UANL

Tigres UANL won the last encounter on September 25, 2025, with a score of 2:0

Tigres UANL has been the more dominant team in recent direct clashes

关键球员

For Atlas, Diego González in attack is a key player with 6 goals and 6 assists, and a season average rating of 7.04

Manuel Capasso, a defender, performs well with 2 goals and rising form (season average rating 7.24, last 5 games 7.74)

In midfield, Víctor Ríos contributes with 1 goal and rising form (season average rating 6.78, last 5 games 7.15)

For Tigres UANL, Ángel Correa is crucial in attack with 15 goals and 8 assists, and a season average rating of 7.23

Diego Lainez contributes 6 goals and 7 assists in attack with a season average rating of 7.14

Rodrigo Aguirre, also in attack, has 1 goal and 2 assists, and has scored 1 goal and provided 2 assists in the last 5 games

门将

Atlas goalkeeper Camilo Vargas made 29 season appearances and kept 8 clean sheets

Tigres UANL goalkeeper Nahuel Guzmán played in 38 season games and recorded 13 clean sheets

影响因素

Atlas averages 1.19 goals scored and 1.05 goals conceded in home games

Tigres UANL averages 1.80 goals scored and 1.73 goals conceded in away games

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