Liga MX
Monterrey - Puebla
04/22/2026, 03:05 AM
预期进球
1.5
2.3
0.8
1:1
14%1:0
13%0:0
12%2:0
11%2:1
9%xG 分解
Monterrey
Puebla
联赛
模型概率
比赛结果
主胜
52%
平局
29%
客胜
19%
进球数
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
双重机会
主胜或平局
81%
客胜或平局
48%
非平局
71%
双方进球
是
44%
否
56%
关键因素
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Monterrey with 52% probability, with 1.49 expected home goals compared to 0.80 for Puebla
- Monterrey dominates head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws, with a goal difference of 10:5 in the last five encounters
- Puebla shows a weak away defense, conceding an average of 2.62 goals per away game
风险因素
- Puebla's squad strength is critically limited, with only 70% of usual goal threat available, missing players like Fernando Monárrez (1G/3A) and Kevin Velasco (0G/3A)
- Both teams had only 3 days rest since their last match, which could lead to fatigue
- Puebla recorded an average of only 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- Monterrey conceded an average of 2.5 goals in recent matches, compared to a season average of 1.54 goals conceded
概述
Monterrey (5th place, 31 points) hosts Puebla (16th place, 13 points) in Liga MX
Kick-off is on April 22, 2026, 4:05 AM
Monterrey is fighting for a better playoff position, while Puebla is struggling to keep up
近期状态
Monterrey shows a form of D-L-L-D-L in their last five matches across all competitions
This includes 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
Puebla also has a form of D-L-D-L-L
This consists of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with two consecutive losses at the end
统计数据
Monterrey scores an average of 1.64 goals per game and concedes 1.5 goals per game
At home, Monterrey averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 goals conceded
Puebla scores an average of 1.0 goal per season and concedes 2.0 goals per game
Away from home, Puebla's goal average is 1.0, while they concede an average of 2.62 goals
Both teams scored in 19 Monterrey games and 16 Puebla games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 20 Monterrey games and 19 Puebla games
历史交锋
In the last five head-to-head matches, Monterrey dominated
Monterrey won 3 games, while Puebla recorded no wins
Two matches ended in a draw
The goal difference of 10:5 clearly favors Monterrey
The last encounter on August 30, 2025, was won by Monterrey with a score of 4:2
关键球员
For Monterrey, Lucas Ocampos (6 goals, 6 assists, average rating 6.99), Óliver Torres (1 goal, 8 assists, average rating 7.12), and Luca Orellano (3 goals, 4 assists, average rating 7.31) are notable
Their form trends are currently declining
For Puebla, Emiliano Gómez (7 goals, 5 assists, average rating 6.87) stands out
Alejandro Organista (1 goal, 1 assist, average rating 6.80) and Juan Pablo Vargas (1 goal, 0 assists, average rating 6.83) are other key players
Emiliano Gómez and Juan Pablo Vargas also show declining form trends
门将
Monterrey's goalkeeper, Santiago Mele, played in 15 season appearances
Monterrey has kept 10 clean sheets in total this season
Puebla's goalkeeper, Daniel Gutiérrez, also started in 15 season appearances
Puebla has recorded 6 clean sheets this season
影响因素
Monterrey scored 1.6 goals per game at home and conceded 1.1 goals per home game
Puebla concedes an average of 2.62 goals per away game